Taiwan's Agony: NESAT Yesterday, Tropical Storm HAITANG Today

JULY 30, 2017, SUNDAY

Storms seem to be acting like wolves nowadays. They hunt in packs. Take poor Taiwan for instance. Yesterday it was hammered by category 1 typhoon NESAT which after slicing horizontally through the country is now in Fujian province of mainland China. Today another tropical storm HAITANG has crept on Taiwan from the south and about to hit the southern coast.

HAITANG is a smaller storm, with sustained winds of 75 km/h, but gusting upto 120 km/h. Moreover it has a big rain throwing capacity. Taiwan already sustained a deluge yesterday. It cannot tolerate another deluge this man HAITANG is going to bring about.

This storm will traverse almost vertically through the country, exiting from northwest part of Taiwan after 9 long hours at about 3:00 PM UTC. It will cross the Taiwan strait and hit mainland China.

Worrying for Taiwan is that the heavy downpours will continue even HAITANG moves past. Our estimate is an astounding 400 mm of precipitation will occur in the next 24 hours in the southern half of Taiwan. Also this tropical storm will bring about wind gusts upto 140 km/h over the landmass of Taiwan. Especially the eastern half of the island country, thus increasing the possibility of devastation by wind too, besides the flooding rains.

HAITANG WILL CAUSE WIND GUSTS UPTO 130 KM/H IN TAIWAN 

HEAVY RAINS, UPTO 400 MM, IS EXPECTED ON SOUTHERN TAIWAN OWING TO TROPICAL STORM HAITANG 

Typhoon NESAT Hammering Taiwan With 150 Kmph Sustained Winds

JULY 29, 2017, SATURDAY 

Powerful category 1 typhoon NESAT has already started battering the island nation of Taiwan with sustained wind speed of 150 km/h. Gusts are reaching an astounding 230 km/h.

The storm is expected to cut through the island in three hours by 12 noon UTC today. Landfall will be between Hualien and Yilan cities. On entering the Taiwan Strait it will intensify again and hit mainland China in Fujian province.

Almost all the parts of Taiwan will receive very heavy rainfall accompanied by powerful winds.

The central minimum pressure of the storm is 958 hPa.

Wind gusts are expected to reach 240 km/h before impact.

After Sarika (Karen), Luzon, Philippines May Be Affected by TropicalCyclone Haima (Lawin) Oct 20, 2016

OCTOBER 12, 2016, WEDNESDAY

Luzon, Philippines faces the prospect of being buffeted by two tropical storms in a span of a week. Future typhoon Sarika (Karen) will hit central part of the province on October 16. And the northern tip of the island may receive a thrashing by another typhoon, Haima ( Lawin) around October 20-21, 2016.

Invest 93W, that is future Karen, is already intensifying. It has turned into a tropical depression. It lies about 500 kilometres east of Samar. By Friday it will have turned into a tropical storm. When is crosses central Luzon on Sunday, thankfully, it will be throwing out winds of 70-80 km/h, with a central minimum pressure of 987mb.

Typhoon Sarika will rapidly intensify into powerful category 3/4 typhoon when it enters the South China Sea. Forecast models are predicting it may turn into a 944 hPa storm on October 18. Present forecasts indicate a hit on Zhenjiang, China on October 19, 2016.

Meanwhile another cyclone is brewing in West Pacific Ocean near Micronesia islands. It will intensify into typhoon Haima (to be called Lawin by PAGASA) as it moves west over the coming days. Present forecasts say this typhoon may graze the northern tip of Luzon on October 20-21 and the go on and affect Taiwan.

TYPHOON HAIMA, LAWIN MAY TURN INTO A BIG MONSTER STORM

Monster Typhoon MEGI (Helen) Born In West Pacific Ocean: Target Taiwan September 28, 2016

SEPTEMBER 21, 2016, WEDNESDAY 

 

Deep in the Pacific Ocean just north of the Micronesian island of Chuuk, an innocuous low pressure area has just turned into a depression. The Japanese Meteorological Agency JMA which monitors that part of the world has sat up and started keeping track.

 

For good reason. In a week's time, this tiny system in the mighty Pacific Ocean is going to metamorphose into a howling monster called MEGI, a category 2 or 3 typhoon that will slam into Taiwan head on. The diameter of this future storm will be larger than the length of the country.

 

Almost all forecast models predict the impact to occur around September 28, 2016, give or take a couple of days.

 

Our estimate is at its peak as MEGI will be hurtling towards Taiwan, it's central minimum pressure may sink to 960 hPa. It's 10 minute sustained winds will be 180-200 km/h.

 

One shudders to think what that will do to Taiwan, a country which has been battered by numerous storms in the last 15 days.

 

Contrary to earlier expectations, typhoon MEGI may spare Luzon, Philippines. But Guam will come in its way while it will be growing, intensifying and moving west. 

The track of this storm is not 100% certain. The European model thinks it will batter between Taiwan and Luzon and go onto hit China at Guangdong province. May be pleasure spot Macau and Hong Kong may receive a royal thrashing. Taiwan may escape the full wrath of this monster if that happens.

Unfortunately, it is possible that another typhoon CHABA (Igme in Philippines) will hit Taiwan on October 4, 2016, after MEGI (Helen). CHABA is likely to be as powerful as MEGI. Bad tidings for the country.

 

 

Typhoon KOPPU (LANDO) October 2015 XWF Latest Updates, Track Forecast

TRACK TYPHOON KOPPU LIVE

Updates based on Japan Meteorological Agency, Joint Typhoon Warning Center and global forecast models.

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Update: October 20, 2015

Tropical storm KOPPU is weakening all the time as it prepares to leave the shores of Philippines.

The JTWC is still bullish on the storm and believes it will only dissipate on October 25. We believe it will weaken to a mere depression by tomorrow. It will not have any significant impact on Taiwan.

Update: October 19, 2015

The bad news for Philippines is the tropical storm is going to move slowly and will leave the country's shores only after 48 hours if not more. That means still more rains in Luzon for another 2-3 days.

As to its future, KOPPU is not going to intensify again as it heads towards Taiwan. But it will bring heavy rains to the country on October 23 as it moves close past its eastern coast. Winds will be tropical storm strength- about 70-90 km/h.

Update: October 17, 2015

KOPPU is intensifying presently. Soon it will be a category 4 hurricane with winds of 120 knots, gusts up to 140 knots. That is winds of 225-270 km/h.

Thankfully for Philippines the intensity of the typhoon will decrease. Wind speeds expected at impact on Luzon will be 180-220 km/h. Hardly any consolation.

The most worrying aspect is that KOPPU will leave Luzon completely only on October 21. That means incessant rains for 5 days. Heavy flooding and landslides are expected.

The system will weaken to a tropical storm after making landfall. After Philippines, it will move past the eastern shores of Taiwan on October 23. Expect strong winds and heavy rainfall in that country around October 23.

After moving past Taiwan KOPPU will weaken into a depression on October 24 in the East China Sea.

There is some disagreement amongst forecast models as to KOPPU's future. An alternative scenario is that it skips past southern Taiwan and makes landfall into Fujian province of China on October 23.

Latest JTWC track forecast

Forecast map for track and intensity

Update: October 16, 2015

Latest data from reliable computer models indicates a hit on Luzon on late Sunday noon PHT. Expected wind speeds at impact will be 180-220 km/h. The cyclone will weaken after impact but the major worry is the torrential downpours on northern Philippines for 3 days. Koppu will linger over Luzon for 72 hours.

It is expected to make landfall into Guangdong province of China on October 24.

Taiwan will not be affected except for showers in southern part of the island on October 22-23.

Update: October 15, 2015

The JTWC predicts in its latest bulletin that the violent typhoon will hit Luzon on Saturday afternoon with winds of 180-220 km/h.

Update: October 15, 2015

It is now certain that typhoon KOPPU will slam into Luzon in northern Philippines on October 18, 2015.  Not just touch the northeastern part of Luzon as some forecasts were saying but move right through it. Manila will be directly hit.

The storm is going to rapidly intensify in the next 48 hours.

KOPPU will take 2 days to move past Luzon so flooding torrential rains accompanied by strong winds can be expected October 18-20.

Thankfully the cyclone will weaken before hitting Philippines.

After Philippines?

Where will KOPPU go after Luzon? Models differ. Some predict a weakened KOPPU will move close past Taiwan on October 22-23. Other models say it will make landfall into China at northern Guangdong or southern part of Fujian province on October 22.

Water vapor satellite image of tropical storm KOPPU at 0400 hours GMT October 15, 2015

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Update: October 14, 2015, 1630 GMT

Typhoon Koppu will turn into a violent typhoon when it hits Luzon on October 18. Torrential ràins and 230-270 km/h winds expected.

Update: October 14, 2015

Though present forecasts by JTWC says KOPPU will move through the northeast tip of Luzon we believe it will hit the area head on October 18 and move though it in the next 24 hours thereafter. We also predict Taiwan will be hit directly on October 22.

But it is not going to be a very strong typhoon. A category 1 or 2 (at most) cyclone according Saffir- Simpson scale. Winds of 120 km/h.

Latest satellite image of typhoons KOPPU and CHAMPI and their expected track (October 14 forecast)

Update: October 13, 2015 (0930 GMT)

The JTWC in its latest bulletin predicts typhoon KOPPU will hit Luzon, Philippines on October 18 with winds of 220-270 km/h.

Update: October 13, 2015

There are two typhoons imminent in the western Pacific Ocean. Future typhoon KOPPU is a tropical storm and will intensify into a typhoon in the next 48 hours or less. It recently passed Northern Marianas as a tropical depression. Position at 0000 hours today was 15.6 N, 143.1 E.

Future typhoon CHAMPI is in the Micronesia Islands presently. Position at 0000 hours today was 12 N, 162.2 E.

CHAMPI is expected to swing north in a couple of days harmlessly.

KOPPU is a cause of concern for the Philippines. Presently major forecast models differ as to its track. The intensity is not in doubt. It will be a category 3-4 ( may be 5) hurricane by October 18.

As to its track. One model predicts a direct hit on Luzon in northern Philippines on October 18. It will then hover around Luzon for 24-36 hours and move north, weaken and hit Taiwan on October 20, 2015.

 Another model says it will come dangerously close to Luzon on October 18-19 but will then swing north. Taiwan may be in peril.

Stay with us for continuous updates.

Recent satellite image showing future typhoons KOPPU and CHAMPI 

Track forecast for future typhoon KOPPU 

Present position of future typhoon Champi

Typhoon Goni To Hit Kyushu, Japan, South Korea August 25, 2015

Goni is a kid brother of super typhoon Atsani which is barreling north into the Pacific Ocean giving Japan a fright. But tropical cyclone Goni is no midget. It is already a category 4 hurricane if we use American terminology with winds of 105 knots (190 km/h).

It is presently passing by Luzon in Philippines. Heavy rains are reported from northern Philippines with the coast being very windy as the periphery moves by.

On August 22, Goni will pass the eastern coast of Taiwan but at a distance of about 200 kilometers. Even then the effect will be considerable on the eastern parts of the country which will face torrential rains and winds in excess of 120 km/h.

Though typhoon Goni will intensify in the next two days as it passes Taiwan, it will not achieve super typhoon status. But it will then have a central minimum pressure of 913 millibars. A dangerous storm.

As it moves towards Japan after that it will start weakening. It will move through Kyushu, right through Nagasaki. Kyushu and Chukogu districts of Japan will be badly hit.

The weakening storm will then move through South Korea and then into northeast China on August 26, 2015. There will be very heavy rains in South Korea and Hebei, Liaoning provinces of China.

See the storm live at CYCLONE TRACKER

TRACK FORECAST AND EXPECTED WIND SPEEDS (IN KNOTS) FOR TYPHOON GONI BY JTWC. THE CYCLONE WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN JAPAN INTO SOUTH KOREA ON AUGUST 25-26 AFTER WEAKENING.

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Typhoon GONI Will Hit South Korea August 25, 2015

Typhoon Goni which is dangerously hovering in the West Pacific will turn into a very powerful cyclone and is expected to Hit South Korea on August 25, 2015. It will pass close by Luzon in Philippines and Taiwan soon.

Typhoon Goni track forecast. It is likely to hit South Korea on August 25, 2015

The Western Pacific Ocean has spawned two powerful typhoons simultaneously, which is surprising. If forecasts are to be believed both Goni and Atsani are headed to super typhoon-dom. 

Soon to be super cyclone Atsani is not so worrying as it will mainly traverse uninhabited areas and may threaten central Japan On August 23, 2015. Our prediction is Tokyo is safe as Atsani will swing away back into the ocean without hitting Japan.

But Typhoon Goni is going to give many countries cause to worry. After passing Guam it is intensifying and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center says it will reach wind speeds of 220 km/h on August 21, when it will pass by Luzon in Philippines. Only the periphery of the storm will touch northern Philippines.

After that typhoon Goni will move north and intensify. It is possible it may become a super typhoon as the warm waters of the East China Sea gives it extra vigor.

It will move past Taiwan on August 22, but at a safe distance. Eastern coast of the country will experience stormy rain and winds as Goni passes by.

On August 25, 2015 it will moves through western Kyushu Island of Japan and then enter South Korea. It will weaken a little before landfall.

The provinces of South Jeolla and South Gyoengsong of South Korea will be the worst hit.

See the storm live at CYCLONE TRACKER

Water vapor satellite image of the West Pacific Ocean showing Typhoon Goni and Atsani.

Pacific Typhoons Goni Atsani Threaten Philippines, Taiwan, Korea Japan

The two typhoons Goni and Atsani hovering in the West Pacific Ocean could threaten Philippines, Taiwan, Korea and Japan in the coming days this August 2015.

Track forecast for Pacific Ocean typhoon Goni and Atsani. Goni will move close by Luzon in Philippines and northern Taiwan. Future super typhoon Atsani poses a threat to central Japan on August 26, 2015.

Though latest forecasts by leading reliable computer models say now that none of these cyclones will hit any country directly but it is difficult to say so with any emphasis as tropical storms obey no computer models however thorough they may be.

A couple of days back we had said in our prediction that Typhoon Goni might hit China at Shanghai but the expected track has changed a little. The tropical cyclone is to move much closer to Luzon in Philippines than earlier expected on August 21, 2015.  It will kiss past the northeastern coast of Taiwan on August 23, 2015 and then weaken. It will then swing towards southern Japan and then change direction and enter South Korea as a  tropical storm on August 27.

Typhoon Goni will probably not metamorphose into a super typhoon (Unlike Atsani) but it will still be  a dangerous storm with a central minimum pressure of 914 Mb when it moves past Luzon. Winds of 200+ km/h. It is possible it may reach super typhoon status.

The authorities in Philippines, Taiwan, Korea and Japan will have to keep a very close watch on cyclone Goni.

Typhoon Atsani in contrast only threatens central Japan. And in a few days it will turn into a howling monster of a storm. A super typhoon with a minimum pressure of 905 Mb. A dangerous powerful cyclone.

Atsani will move through Iwo Jima and go very close to central  Japan threatening Tokyo on August 26, 2015. Our calculation presently is that it will not hit Japan but swing away north east in northern Pacific Ocean and turn into a mid-latitude cyclone threatening the Aleutian Islands.

See the storm live at CYCLONE TRACKER

Typhoons Goni and Atsani in the West Pacific Ocean are going to intensify and turn into very powerful storms in the coming days and they threaten Philippines, Taiwan, Korea and Japan. in the next 10 days. They are slow moving cyclones and hence lethal.

2 Future Pacific SUPER TYPHOONS Goni, Atsani Threaten China, Japan

The over-active West Pacific Ocean has given birth to typhoons Goni and Atsani which are destined to turn into  super typhoons soon and may threaten Taiwan, China and Japan in a few days this August 2015.

EXPECTED PATH/TRACK FORECAST OF NORTH WEST PACIFIC OCEAN TYPHOONS GONI, ATSANI AUGUST 2015

It is hard to say which of the storms IS going to turn into a bigger cyclone. Typhoon Goni? Typhoon Atsani? Present forecasts say both will become super typhoons soon. That means sustained wind speeds in excess of 130 knots (240+ km/h).

Goni is growing now as it moves over Guam now. It will move in a WNW direction in the coming days. It is not going to touch Philippines. It is safe.

But Taiwan may be in for a bad time in a week's time around August 22, 2015 as Goni, (Will be a howling giant by then) will come visiting. It is possible the storm may move just past the northern coast of Taiwan and go on and hit mainland China at Shanghai on August 24.

The typhoon will have a minimum central pressure of 915 Mb then. That spells bad news for Shanghai. A very big, mean, powerful destructive cyclone.

The other big bad guy in the Pacific, typhoon Atsani will swing north soon, giving Guam a miss and grow into a super typhoon in a couple of days.

Atsani is expected to have a central pressure of 896 Mb! You will recollect the Atlantic super cyclone Wilma had a similar minimum pressure.

As to its future route, it is going to pass Iwo Jima, that is for sure. But after that it may swing dangerously towards central Japan. Whether it hits the country or not at Tokyo is to be seen. Our guess is it will not, but swing away but dangerously close to Tokyo by August 24, 2015.

The two typhoons will have many Asian countries worried in the next few days.

See the storm live at CYCLONE TRACKER

PRESENT (AUGUST 15, 2015) INFRA RED IMAGE OF THE WEST PACIFIC SHOW THE FLEDGELING TYPHOONS GONI AND ATSANI. IN A FEW DAYS THEY WILL BOTH TURN INTO SUPER TYPHOONS THREATENING CHINA AND JAPAN

Big Typhoon SOUDELOR Weakening Before Hitting China, Goni and Atsani Waiting

Typhoon Soudelor is a massive typhoon and it leaves behind a devastated Taiwan. It has started to weaken and will enter China at Fujian Province just south of Fuzhou August 8, 2015 noon GMT.

SATELLITE IMAGE OF TYPHOON SOUDELOR AND TROPICAL STORM MOLAVE TAKEN AT 0000 HOURS GMT AUGUST 8, 2015

The tropical cyclone had a central minimum pressure of 915 Mb just before it hit Taiwan. That is a big big bad storm. Winds 0f 200+ kph, gusts upto 250 kph.

And it passed just south of the country's capital Taipei. The city must have been badly affected.

Luckily for China Soudelor is weakening as it prepares to make landfall into mainland China today evening. Ground Zero will be the Fujian coast just south of Fuzhou.

Even a weakening storm as this one will be something to watch out for. Winds of 150+ kph and even more worrying the torrential rain. A weakened cyclone throws down a lot of rain.

Withing the next 24 hours, typhoon Soudelor will shrink into a low pressure area. But it will travel right through north eastern China in the next 2-3 days. One can expect rainfall in the provinces of Jiangxi, Hubei, Anhui, Henan, Jiangsu and southern Shandong. The low pressure area will then move into Korea. Phew!

Soudelor has a lot of energy and moisture and it will traverse quite a distance in China in the next few days bringing floods in many areas.

Meanwhile the other tropical storm in the West Pacific, Molave, is quite harmless in contrast. It will never intensify into anything big and it will not make landfall in any populated landmasses. It will swing away from Japan and move north-easterly harmlessly into the cold North Pacific. A nuisance to shipping lanes perhaps but otherwise a harmless guy.

TYPHOONS GONI AND AFSANI IN THE WAITING

There is bad news for the Philippines. After typhoon Soudelor and tropical storm Molave, the Western Pacific is going to throw out two more typhoons, Goni and Atsani within a week. One of them will probably threaten Philippines around August 25, 2015.

WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SATELLITE IMAGE AUGUST 9, 2015. TYPHOON SOUDELOR HAS ENTERED CHINA AND WEAKENED. MOLAVE IS SWINGING AWAY. WITHIN A WEEK TYPHOONS GONI AND ATSANI WILL BE COMING

TYPHOON SOUDELOR WILL ENTER FUJIAN PROVINCE, CHINA AUGUST 8, 2015 AFTERNOON LOCAL TIME WITH 150 KPH WINDS

Pacific Typhoons Chan-Hom, Linfa, Nangka... Headed Where?

Where will the three West Pacific Ocean typhoons, Chan-hom, Linfa and Nangka go? Opinions differ. But Taiwan and Fujian province of China seem to be in for rough weather.

Satellite image taken at 0900 GMT, July 6, 2015, showing typhoons Chan-hom, Nangka and Linfa

The ocean is over active now, hurtling tropical cyclones and storms by the fistfuls. Let us discuss the forecasts for each of these...

TYPHOON CHAN-HOM

It has moved past Guam Island and if the JTWC is to be believed, it is headed for a super typhoon status soon in a couple of days, that is by July 9, 2015. It is expected to move past Okinawa by Friday morning, a few hundred kilometers away. But since Chan-hom will be so powerful then, expect very stormy weather at Kadena.

After that what? Forecasts differ. The JTWC says it will go onto hit Shanghai head on July 11, 2015. We think it will make landfall into Fujian province in China  just south of Fuzhou. It will weaken before impact on July 11. But it is going to kiss the northern part of Taiwan before that on July 10. Taipei and Chilung will be hit by winds of 250 km/h.

TYPHOON LINFA

Tropical cyclone Linfa is smaller in comparison. It has just passed northern Philippines and is going to intensify as it heads north towards the south-western coast of Taiwan. It will have winds of 60-70 km/h when it kisses the country's coast at Kaohsiung and Tainan on July 10, 2015. It will weaken into a low and head to Fujian in China after that.

TYPHOON NANGKA

This one is in the league of Chan-hom. A possible super typhoon. Luckily it is not going to head to heavily populated land masses. But it is going to move perilously close to the Japanese island of Iwo Jima on July 14, 2015. It is possible it may hit it directly. Predictions differ on the track of Nangka. 

The first possibility is it will kiss Iwo Jima and swing away from the east coast of Japan harmlessly. Another option is it will swing westwards and move right through the southern Japanese islands of Oshima and Okinawa. A dangerous possibility.

AFTER KAMMURI, Typhoons Phanfone (Will Hit Taiwan October 8) and Vongfong To Form Quickly

The north western Pacific has started hurtling typhoons in quick succession! After Kalmaegi and Fung-wong we have predicted super-typhoon Kammuri will kiss central Japan on September 29, 2014.

But that is not the end of the story. Two more typhoons, Phanfone and Vongfong will quickly follow. Both will form east of the Philippines (That area of the Pacific is the womb of all storms hitting Asia).

Typhoon Phanfone will form as a low pressure area on October 2, 2014. It will then slowly intensify and move westwards. It will hit Taiwan on October 8, 2014.

Typhoon Vongfong will form in a near identical area as Phanfone on October 5, 2014, and follow an identical path as Phanfone. But it is difficult to say with surety now as to which way will Vongfong  go.

XWF WEATHER FORECAST MAP: This incredible map shows October 8, 2014; Typhoon Phanfone moves into Taiwan as Typhoon Vongfong is close behind.

Latest NASA Satellite Image Of Typhoon FUNG-WONG Over Taiwan

Latest images of typhoon Fung-wong over Taiwan

READ MORE ON TYPHOON FUNG-WONG

TYPHOON FUNG-WONG UPDATE: Storm To Hit Taiwan Tomorrow: Will Bring rains To Shanghai Sunday

Fung-wong is going to be a weak storm (maximum winds of 80 kph). And it has deviated once more from the earlier forecast track. Latest observations say it is going to hit Taiwan tomorrow late night (Local time).

After crossing Taiwan it will weaken a little and kiss the Chinese mainland at Zhejiang province. Shanghai too will feel its affect on Sunday. After that the storm will weaken below storm strength on September 24, 2014 as it nears Japan. All that Japan will get is some rains. That is all. Fung-wong will dis-integrate before it reaches Japan.

Latest satellite image of Fung-wong taken at 0300 Hrs GMT, September 19, 2014.

READ MORE ON TYPHOON FUNG-WONG

Typhoon FUNG-WONG To Brush Past N. Philippines Tomorrow, Taiwan Saturday And Hit Japan Tuesday

Satellite image of typhoon Fung-wong taken at 0000 Hrs, GMT today, September 18, 2014

The expected path of Typhoon Fung-wong

XWF FORECAST MAP: Fung-wong about to hit Japan on Tuesday, September 23, 2014 (Local Time)

Earlier we had said that Typhoon Fung-wong would pass by northern Philippines. But it seems it going to change course and pass by Philippines very close. It is also going to affect Taiwan brushing past it on Saturday (September 20, 2014).

It will then move on and hit Japan on Tuesday (September 23, 2014) local time.

Fung-wong will not be very strong as it passes Philippines and Taiwan with winds of about 80 kph. It is only when it enters the Yellow Sea that it will really intensify with winds gusting at above 100 kph. Earlier we had estimated that it would hit central Japan but it is going to shift course from earlier forecasts and hit Japan head-on.

XWF FORECAST MAP: Fung-wong moves past N. Philippines tomorrow

XWF FORECAST MAP: The typhoon will affect Taiwan on Saturday

From http://www.trust.org/item/20140918030720-8exfz/?source=fiTheWire

Tropical storm Fung-wong is forecast to strike the Philippines as a typhoon at about 12:00 GMT on 19 September. Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will be near 18.5 N, 122.4 E. Fung-wong is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 120 km/h (74 mph). Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.

According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm of Fung-wong's strength (category 1) at landfall includes: Storm surge generally 1.2-1.5 metres (4-5 feet) above normal. No real damage to building structures. Damage primarily to unanchored mobile homes, shrubbery, and trees. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Some coastal road flooding and minor pier damage. There is also the potential for flooding further inland due to heavy rain.

READ MORE ON TYPHOON FUNG-WONG

SIDELIGHTS: VIDEO: A PRETTY TAIWANESE TV FORECASTER TELLS US ABOUT "FUNG-WONG"

FUTURE STORMS: Typhoon"KAMMURI" Will Hit Taiwan And East China In Early October, 2014

XWF FORECAST MAP: October 2, 2014. Typhoon Kammuri gains strength and moves west towards China

The Western Pacific is in ferment. It is churning out typhoons every couple of days. After Kalmaegi, tropical cyclone Fung-wong has already formed (It is a low pressure area now) and will hit Japan on September 21, 2014.

After that Tropical Cyclone KAMMURI will form north east of Philippines as a humble low pressure area on September 27, 2014. It will not go to either Philippines or Japan but will gain momentum, move west pass pelt melt over Taiwan and then slam into the Chinese coast north of Hongkong.

South China Sea To Spawn Tropical Storm "Mitag"/"Ester" On June 13, 2014

EAST ASIA

Path of expected tropical storm Ester (or Mitag) from June 13, 2014 to June 18,2014

The season of tropical storms is upon us. The North Indian Ocean has so far disappointed us. In the Americas, only a piddly little Amanda was formed in the Eastern Pacific near Mexico.

The much vaunted west Pacific typhoon season is perhaps about to begin. SE Asia is infamous for its tropical storms. Last year if I have the facts right,  the Pacific Ocean had been hurtling storms by the handfuls, one after another.

This year the account will open with the South China Sea. A low pressure area is likely to develop here off the Manila coast. On June 13, 2014. This system will slowly move northward turning into a depression. Taiwan is likely to get lots of rainfall on June 14, 2014. The depression will then intensify into a typhoon and turn in a NE direction. It will pass by Japan from below on the 16th of June and then move on to dissipate into the Pacific.

But the Japanese islands of Okinawa and Ryukyu are likely to bear the brunt of Tropical Storm Mitag on June 16, 2014.

June 16, 2014. Heavy rains in the Japanese island of Okinawa.