Even as Cyclone Mahasen grows in strength and prepares to hit Chittagong, Bangladesh on May 15, 2013, latest forecasts say the North Indian Ocean may throw up another cyclone (Phailin) this May. The expected tropical storm may hit Oman on May 27, 2013.Indications are that Phailin is going to be a big storm. Bigger than Mahasen. It will take form around May 21, 2013 between the Horn of Africa and the Kerala coast and head NW straight towards Oman.
Another possibility is it may strike Gujarat (India) on the 27th of May, 2013.
Either way "Phailin" is gonna be very big
Keep reading this site.
SCENARIO 1: Target Oman
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| Animated forecasted path of Cyclone Phailin: May 23 to May 27, 2013 |
SCENARIO 2: Target Gujarat
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| Alternate scenario: Phailin may hit Gujarat. Projected path of Cyclone Phailin May 23 to May 27, 2013 |
11 comments:
too early to comment and judge at this stage...
We had predicted MAHASEN on May 1, 2013. Ten days before.
any chance of lanfall at kerala?
Since PHAILIN is expected to form about 1000 Km west of the coast of Kerala, it is unlikely that it will move eastwards. Historical records gainsay such a possibility.
Is there any possibility of Heavy Rains in Mumbai if Cyclone hits Gujarat?
It depends on what path PHAILIN chooses to tread. If it heads to OMAN rains are unlikely on the Indian coast (including Mumbai). If it favors Gujarat, Mumbai may get a drenching..
Which path is more likely? Oman or gujarat? We live in muscat , oman.
Sk.
Hard to say now but Oman looks more likely. It is uncertain if PHAILIN will form at all. Forecast models intermittently flash warnings about its possibility.
Thanks.pls keep on updating.
Sk.
PHAILIN will be affect in Pakistani cost ........... specially karachi
will it affect oman ?
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