Latest Satellite Images Of Cyclone NILAM Show It has Entered Tamil Nadu.And Final Track

These satellite images were taken at 1130 IST Wednesday October 31, 2012. They clearly show that Nilam has entered Tamil Nadu. Six Hours Before time!

The way cyclone NILAM went

Cyclone NILAM Will Bring Heavy Rains To Southern, Eastern and Parts of Central India.

Cyclone NILAM is powerful. It is a very moisture laden system and its inherent strength is going to being heavy rains to not only Tamil Nadu Eastern Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh but also to Orissa, eastern Maharashtra, West Bengal and parts of Madhya Pradesh in the next week.

Rainfall Prediction Map owing to NIlam. From Oct 31, 2012 to Nov 7, 2012

Latest Cyclone NILAM Predicted Path: Target PUDUCHERRY (Pondicherry) 5 PM Wednesday

The latest predictions by the JTWC say that Cyclone NILAM is going to hit the Tamil Nadu coast bang onto Puducherry at Wednesday 5 PM (IST).. So powerful is the storm that it will keep moving inland for another 24 hours with storm strength and reach Bellary in Karnataka when it will dissipate below storm strength.

Cyclone NILAM Will Bring Heavy Rains To Tamil Nadu, Andhra, Orissa And West Bengal

Projected path of NILAM according to JTWC (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Satellite image of Cyclone NILAM at 1130 Hrs, today

We have said before that the present deep depression in the Bay of Bengal is going to start gaining in ferocity and turn into Cyclone NILAM. Well it has strengthened into a cyclone and it has been christened NILAM by the IMD. The cyclone will hit the Tamil Nadu coast south of Chennai tomorrow (Oct. 31, 2012) evening. Coastal areas of both Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh will face strong gale excess of 80 Kmph.

And the rains. Tamil Nadu and the entire Andhra Pradesh will receive very heavy rains tomorrow and on November 1, 2012. The rains will reach Orissa, Chattisgarh and West Bengal by the 3rd of November, 2012. Chennai is in for  severe drenching in the next two days.

Increasing wind speed

Predicted Track of Cyclone NILAM from oct. 30 (6 PM IST) to Oct. 31 (9 PM IST)

Increasing rainfall

Rainfall prediction map owing to NILAM. Oct. 31, 2012 to Nov 3, 2012

Cyclone Nilam To Hit Chennai Wednesday (October 31, 2012) Evening. VERY HEAVY RAINS IN TN AND AP

Expected path of Cyclone NILAM

Expected Nilam is still a deep depression, but it will start intensifying and turn into a cyclone by today (Tuesday, 30 Nov. 2012) evening. It will then hit the coast just below Chennai by tomorrow (Wednesday, October 31, 2012) evening.

Nilam will be a moderate storm with wind speeds exceeding 62 KMPH at the least. Though gale winds may touch the 100 KMPH mark. Nothing to sneeze at that.

Lots of rain. It must be raining in Chennai and the rest of Tamil Nadu now. The rains are going to increase all the time. Expect a deluge.

There will be heavy rains in Andhra Pradesh too over the days

Increasing rainfall

Rainfall prediction map. Cyclone NILAM. October 30 to November 3, 2012

WHAT THE INDIAN MET DEPT. SAYS ABOUT CYCLONE NILAM OCTOBER 30, 2012 0530 HOURS


The deep depression over southwest Bay of Bengal   remained   practically stationary  and
lay centred at  0530 hours IST of today, the 30th October, 2012  over southwest Bay of Bengal
near lat. 9.0°N and long. 82.0°E, about 500 Km south­southeast of Chennai. The system would
intensify further into a  cyclonic storm and move northwestwards for some more time and then
cross north Tamilnadu and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coast  between Nagapattinam and
Nellore by 31st October, 2012 afternoon/evening.

Latest image of Cyclone Nilam

Tropical Storm NILAM To Hit Tamil Nadu On October 31, 2012

 It is certain that the deep depression is hovering around in the Bay of Bengal. It is going to intensify further and move towards the Tamil Nadu coast in the next few hours.And hit it on October 31, 2012. The moot point is will it be strong enough to be christened NILAM by the stingy IMD?

Some forecasts say that the system is going to throw gale winds>>> 80-90 KMPH. Now that definitely means a cyclone. It should get the name NILAM. But IMD? Anyway.

Increasing wind speeds

Projected Path of Expected Cyclone NILAM  (October 29-October 31, 2012)

The deep depression over southwest Bay of Bengal near latitude 9.50 N and longitude 84.00 E, about 550 km southeast of Chennai (Tamil Nadu) and 300 km east-northeast of Trincomalee (Srilanka) is gong to intensify rapidly and hit the Tamil Nadu coast south of Chennai on October 31, 2012.

Very strong winds and lots of rains. So strong is the system that in the next few days it will move along northward and bring rains (Not only Tamil Nadu) to Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra, Orissa, Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal.

Folks, bad girl NILAM is coming!

Increasing rainfall

Rain Prediction Map Oct. 30-Nov 3, 2012 Owing to Expected Cyclone NILAM

Cyclone NILAM May form In The Bay of Bengal: Cross Tamil Nadu Coast Oct. 31, 2012

The Bay of Bengal storm touches the Tamil Nadu coast south of Chennai. October 31, 2012

The Bay of Bengal seems to have grabbed NILAM from the Arabian Sea. Latest forecasts say NILAM will now form in the Bay of Bengal.and may cross the Tamil Nadu coast on October 31, 2012.

But the scenario is fuzzy right now. The expected storm may or may not be of Cyclone strength (May not be christened NILAM). It may turn out to be just a depression, deep or otherwise.

And as a result, lots of rains expected in Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh on October 30-31, 2012

Rain prediction map. Lots of rain in Tamil Nadu on October 31, 2012

WHAT THE JTWC (JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER) SAYS.....

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 86.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 84.9E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA.

NUMERICAL MODEL AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE DEVELOPS THIS SYSTEM TO MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS THE STRONGER WINDS BEGIN TO WRAP AROUND THE LLCC.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.

WHAT THE INDIAN MET DEPT SAY (TODAY OCTOBER 28, 2012, 5:30 AM)

The low pressure area over southeast Bay of Bengal and neighbourhood now lies as a well marked low pressure  area  over  central  parts  of  south Bay  of Bengal  and  neighbourhood. The  associated  upper  air cyclonic   circulation   extends   upto 3.1   Km   above   mean   sea   level.   The   system   may   concentrate  into a depression during next 24 hours.

Latest Cyclone NILAM Predicition: Nov. 3, 2012: Target Kutch!

Novemeber 3, 2012. Cyclone NILAM hits the Gujarat coast

Latest predictions of Expected Cyclone NILAM say that the Target is going to be Kutch area in Gujarat. The latest predictions vary little from our yesterday's analysis.

NILAM is going to be big. May be a super cyclone. (See the image below). It is going to hit the Gujarat coast in Kutch district on November 3rd, 2012.

Projected path of Cyclone NILAM. October 30, 2012 to November 3, 2012

So big the storm is going to be that the entire western region of India; the states of Gujarat, Rajasthan and coastal Maharashtra are going to receive rains. The most drenching is reserved for Kutch in Gujarat and Rajasthan. 

So massive and strong is tha system that it may move inwards into India cut across Rajasthan and give rains to Delhi and Uttaranchal too! All these states will get massive rains till the 5th of November., 2012.

Rainfall Prediction Map: Cyclone NILAM: October 31, 2012 to November 4, 2012.

Massive Arabian Sea Cyclone NILAM To Hit Gujarat On November 3, 2012

Expected Cyclone NILAM on November 2, 2012 between Oman and Gujarat

Predicted Cyclone Nilam seems to have changed its mind. We had said yesterday that it was likely to hit the Oman-Yemen border on November 5, 2012. But the lady now seems in a mind to shower its affection on Gujarat.

Cyclone MURJAN made landfall on November 25, 2012 at the Horn of Africa.

NILAM takes birth. Oct. 29, 2012

Nilam is likely to form on October 29, 2012 in the Indian Ocean (68 degrees East, 5 degrees South) about 1200 miles South West of Colombo.

In the next few days it will start moving in a general northerly direction gaining strength all the time and turn into a massive cyclone. On the 2nd of November it will reach the seas between the Gujarat and Oman coast. Present forecasts say it will then tilt eastwards and hit the Gujarat coast near Dwarka on November 3, 2012,

It is early days now. So there are equal chances that Nilam may hit Oman, Pakistan or Gujarat.

One thing is certain. Big Cyclone NILAM is coming.

Keep reading this site for the latest info.

Projected Path of Cyclone NILAM. Wind Speeds. October 29 to November 3, 2012

Arabian Sea Claims MURJAN, Will Claim Cyclone NILAM Too!

Strange this year. Two cyclones in the North Indian Ocean in October, November 2012. Both in the Arabian Sea. And both expected to hit Somalia (Or at least affect)!

The first MURJAN is likely to enter Somalia today itself.

Cyclone MURJAN will enter Somalia today

The second cyclone, NILAM, will form on the 31st of October, 2012 off the coat of Somalia. It will intensify and touch the Horn of Africa on November 3 and then move northerly and make landfall on the Oman-Yemen border on November 5.

Folks in Oman! The remnants of NILAM will drift upwards towards entire Oman and the country may receive some showers around November 8, 2012. No heavy falls. But some rains possible.

Wind speed map. Predicted path of cyclone NILAM. Nov 1-Nov 5, 2012

As for the Bay of Bengal a system will try to form on October 28 off the coast of Visakhapatnam. But it will not gain much strength. Not even a low pressure. But there will be rains on the Tamil Nadu and North Andhra coast. These areas any way get rains now because it is the North East Monsoon season. But no significant storms likely in the future.