Cyclone NILAM May form In The Bay of Bengal: Cross Tamil Nadu Coast Oct. 31, 2012

The Bay of Bengal storm touches the Tamil Nadu coast south of Chennai. October 31, 2012

The Bay of Bengal seems to have grabbed NILAM from the Arabian Sea. Latest forecasts say NILAM will now form in the Bay of Bengal.and may cross the Tamil Nadu coast on October 31, 2012.

But the scenario is fuzzy right now. The expected storm may or may not be of Cyclone strength (May not be christened NILAM). It may turn out to be just a depression, deep or otherwise.

And as a result, lots of rains expected in Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh on October 30-31, 2012

Rain prediction map. Lots of rain in Tamil Nadu on October 31, 2012

WHAT THE JTWC (JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER) SAYS.....

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 86.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 84.9E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA.

NUMERICAL MODEL AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE DEVELOPS THIS SYSTEM TO MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS THE STRONGER WINDS BEGIN TO WRAP AROUND THE LLCC.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.

WHAT THE INDIAN MET DEPT SAY (TODAY OCTOBER 28, 2012, 5:30 AM)

The low pressure area over southeast Bay of Bengal and neighbourhood now lies as a well marked low pressure  area  over  central  parts  of  south Bay  of Bengal  and  neighbourhood. The  associated  upper  air cyclonic   circulation   extends   upto 3.1   Km   above   mean   sea   level.   The   system   may   concentrate  into a depression during next 24 hours.