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| XWF-WEATHER FORECAST MAP: CYCLONE BANSI MOVING PAST MAURITIUS ON JANUARY 13, 2015 |
And we get just a "No Cyclone Warning".
That is worrying. Most model forecasts say a tropical cyclone or two may form soon in the area. In the next 72-96 hours. And even more worrying is some of these forecasts say the tropical storm over the Mascareignes will intensify over the area and move very slowly. In other words, the storm is going to grow just over the skies of Mauritius. Perilous stuff.
We know computer forecast models can sometimes go off the mark completely. And the last thing every body wants is to create a panic. But consider the facts. All the forecasts models are predicting a tropical cyclone in the Mascreignes. Some say it will be a weak storm some say it may turn into a super cyclone. But the fact remains, a cyclone is very likely.
The folks in the Mascreignes and other parts of south east Africa deserve a mention that a storm may be coming. Better a good scare than be surprised.
Please also see Breaking Forecast News For latest updates
Also see Rainfall Prediction Maps for SW Indian Ocean
SEE 92S (CYCLONE BANSI) LIVE
This is the area which is going to spawn a cyclone soon
4 comments:
I agree. I have been following the forecasts for years and Mts seems reluctant to give warnings anymore. They did this a couple of years ago and did not warn anyone of flash floods with heavy thunderstorms and we lost lots of people. Last year they had warnings up when it was obvious the storm would not hit. So i guess they're just being cautious and don't want to look stupid.....
Unfortunately for several years the MMS has been amateurish. And it has not changed. What is even more surprising is that they refused to comment on the system after being asked by a leading newspaper. Fortunately there is met france for reliable forecasts and XWF for its early warnings. You are doing a good job. Keep it up. From Vishal, Mauritius.
You are doing a good job. Keep it up. What is even more surprising is that MMS refused to comment on the system when asked by a leading newspaper.
Hi!
There is no lack of information since the MMS has issued several special communiques about he formation of a depression before Friday. It is only today that the depression intensified into a tropical depression. Of course, there could be no cyclone warning as there was no cyclone or any system that could generate cyclonic winds of the island. Mauritius will pass on alert 1 today at 16:00 hours
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