We have already said that the monsoon will become active from June 10, 2017. How will it move? Which states will it progress into? These are some of the questions we will try to deal with today.
In fact the intensification of the monsoon will begin earlier. From June 8, Thursday itself.
It will happen in both the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea simultaneously.
The almost docile, inert Bay of Bengal is going to spring to life after 2-3 days with massive clusters of thunderstorms sprouting throughout the Bay. It will culminate in the formation of a LPA ((low pressure area) on June 8. This rain system is going to make landfall into the Odisha coast north of Cuttack on June 11. It is expected to push monsoon's into eastern India. Northern Odisha, Jharkhand, Bihar and then eastern Uttar Pradesh in the following days.
The Arabian Sea which currently active in Kerala and coastal Karnataka will intensify too with heavy rainfall off the Karnataka coast from June 8-9. The wave will then advance into Goa and finally Konkan and Mumbai by June 11-12. Massive rain systems will develop off the west coast, possibly even a low pressure area.
Monsoon is going to arrive in Mumbai on June 11-12 with a bang. Expect extensive flooding owing to the torrential rainfall.
What after Konkan/Mumbai? There opinion is divided.
One. After flooding Mumbai the rain system goes diagonally into Maharashtra and western Madhya Pradesh. Gujarat, Rajasthan, Sindh stay thirsty.
Two. The massive rain system moves into Saurashtra, Kutch, eastern Sindh onto Rajasthan on around June 14-15. Leading to heavy rains in these regions.
POST NOTE: Monsoon's entry into Mumbai will be comparatively less dramatic than was earlier expected. No big bangs like 20 inches....30 inches...
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