August 13, 2016: Weather Forecast Update: Deluge In Northwest Madhya Pradesh

AUGUST 13, 2016, SATURDAY

The upper air cyclonic circulation lies over northern Madhya Pradesh-eastern Uttar Pradesh. It will continue to bring flooding rains to Madhya Pradesh, especially the northeastern segment (Rewa-Sewa) and many parts of eastern Uttar Pradesh.

The system will hover around the region till August 16, 2016.

Monsoon activity will increase in all over India except the five southern states from August 16.

STORM POSSIBILITY TODAY: A low pressure area is developing in the Gulf of Tonkin off the coast of Vietnam. It may move into the South China Sea and intensify into a tropical cyclone in the coming days. Areas to be affected are northern Vietnam, China (Guangdong, Hainan, Guangxi, Yunnan)

Very heavy continuous rains in northeastern Madhya Pradesh (Satna, Rewa, Singrauli, Shahdol, Sidhi), parts of northern Chattisgarh and southeast Uttar Pradesh) till Sunday morning.

Heavy showers in Jabalpur, Bhopal till Sunday morning.

Moderate to heavy widespread rains in Uttar Pradesh and northern Madhya Pradesh in next 48 hours.

Heavy rains in Allahabad on Monday.

Rain radar shows heavy rains in parts of Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan.

NOAA RAIN FORECAST

August 8, 2016, Monday: Indian Monsoon Forecast Update

AUGUST 8, 2016, MONDAY

The cyclonic circulation which is presently hovering above southeastern Rajasthan will bring very heavy rainfall to the region and also parts of North Gujarat in the coming 72 hours.

Meanwhile the cyclonic circulation over Sindh has moved into the Arabian Sea. It will dissipate soon.

The Rajasthan rain system will intensify in the coming 24 hours and will die down on Friday, August 12.

The next major monsoon system to be born will be a low pressure area that will develop off the Odisha coast on August 16, 2016.

A smaller cyclonic circulation will form off the West Bengal coast on Tuesday, August 9.  It will move into Bangladesh, weaken and come over to West Bengal.

Heavy showers in Ahmedabad till Tuesday morning.

Very heavy rains in southern Rajasthan (Sirohi, Barmer, Abu, Udaipur, Mandsaur, Chittaurgarh) parts of north Gujarat (Palanpur, Mehsana), by Tuesday, August 9, morning.

Very heavy rains in Pali, Sirohi, Abu, Jhalor (Rajasthan) on Tuesday night.

Medium to heavy rains to continue in southern Rajasthan till Friday, August 12, morning.

Parts of north Gujarat (Palanpur, Patan, Mehsana) to receive medium to heavy rains till Wednesday morning.

Heavy rains in coastal WEST BENGAL, BANGLADESH (Chittagong) till Wednesday morning.

RELATED: NOAA GFS Rain Forecast Maps, August 8, 2016

A cyclonic circulation is forming in the Bay of Bengal close to the West Bengal coast. It will move into Bangladesh and then into West Bengal. The system will bring heavy precipitation in these regions in the next 72 hours.

At 0630 hours today morning heavy rains occurring in Rajasthan. The rains will move to parts of north Gujarat and Kutch in the coming 48 hours.

August 6, 2016: Monsoon Forecast Update

AUGUST 6, 2016, SATURDAY

The cyclonic circulation over Gujarat will persist for another 36 hours. After that it will move to the Arabian Sea and then come back again to bring heavy showers to some districts of Saurashtra (Dwarka, Jamnagar, Rajkot) on Tuesday, August 9.

The Bay of Bengal low pressure area which is over Madhya Pradesh at present will move onto Rajasthan.

Heavy rains in Jamnagar, Kutch (Mundra, Mandvi, western Kutch) tonight.  Heavy showers in Sindh (Karachi) in next 24 hours. Heavy showers in northeast Gujarat (Godhra-Palanpur) tonight.

Heavy rains in Madhya Pradesh till Monday morning.

Heavy to very heavy rains in southeast Rajasthan (Kota, Bhilwara area) on Sunday night.

Very heavy rains in Uttar Pradesh on August 10-12.

RELATED: NOAA Rain Forecast Maps

RAIN RADAR AT 0930 IST SATURDAY shows it is raining heavily in Delhi, Vidarbha near Nagpur, Odisha, parts of Kutch and in coastal Sindh. By tomorrow the heavy rains will move into Madhya Pradesh and then onto Rajasthan under the influence of the Bay of Bengal cyclonic circulation system.

August 1, 2016 Monsoon Forecast Update

AUGUST 1, 2015

Very heavy flooding rains in Mumbai till August 3 morning.

Heavy showers in parts of South Gujarat today.

Heavy showers in Jamnagar, Porbandar, Dwarka districts of Saurashtra on August 5,6.

Heavy rains in SE Rajasthan, Central, North Gujarat on August 2, 3.

Heavy showers in Kutch, coastal Sindh on August 4.

Under influence of Bay of Bengal low pressure area/circulation very heavy rains likely in southern Odisha, Telangana, southern Chattisgarh, Vidarbha on August 5-6.

As the system moves onto western Madhya Pradesh on August 7, heavy precipitation possible.

Heavy rain in Central Gujarat, around Vadodara on August 8, Monday.

July 31: Indian Monsoon 2016 Forecast Update

JULY 31, 2016

The Bay of Bengal low pressure area is being born off Bangladesh-Myanmar coast. It will intensify into a depression and cross Odisha coast on August 3. It will move generally west reaching Gujarat on August 9-10. It will bring heavy rainfall to Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Chattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Gujarat as it moves through these states.

A upper air cyclonic circulation will move over Gujarat August 3-6. It will bring heavy precipitation in the entire state and possibly Sindh.

Heavy rains are expected in Telangana, Konkan, Goa, western Madhya Pradesh and south Gujarat in next 48 hours.

Heavy rains in South Gujarat-August 1, Mumbai, South Gujarat-August 2, Central, North Gujarat-August 3, Kutch, Saurashtra, Karachi-August 3-4.

Latest Cyclone Hudhud Update: Will Enter Visakhapatnam, Saturday Midnight, 11/10/2014 With 200 KPH Winds

Latest forecasts from the JTWC says that cyclone Hudhud will touch the Indian Andhra coast at midnight Saturday, October 11, 2014 with winds of 200 Kph, gusting up to 250 Kph.

The JTWC in its latest bulletin issued at 8:00 AM today says it is going to intensify rapidly and make landfall at Visakhapatnam on Sunday morning.

"FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IMPROVE, ALLOWING TC 03B TO STEADILY INTENSIFY PRIOR TO LANDFALL NEAR VISAKHAPATNAM."

There is no doubt that the storm is going to hit the Andhra coast at Visakhapatnam. Odisha can take a sigh of relief. But some districts of the state will experience the strong winds of the cyclone. Entire Odisha will receive heavy rains in the next three days.We have dealt with how and where the storm will  affect the most in an earlier article.

NDTV Video

MAHASEN CYCLONE SEEMS TO BE WEAKENING FAST: MAY 16, 2013: HEAVY RAINS IN NE INDIA LIKELY (Final Track Path)

MAHASEN SATELLITE IMAGE: 1.30 PM (IST), 2.00 PM (BDT), MAY 16, 2013

Latest satellite images of MAHASEN show that the cyclone is weakening fast after it made contact with land. It seems likely that it will quickly move over into the Indian NE within 24 hours.

In other words Mahasen has fallen apart rapidly.

Also it seems the storm has bypassed Chittagong, moving by an area a few hundred kms north from Chittagong.

In the meantime, heavy rains. It rained heavily in Kolkata just a few hours ago. It is raining buckets in Bangladesh now.

And Bangladesh will get some very very strong winds (It is getting it now).

It is raining heavily in the NE states. This will increase as the remnants of Mahasen moves over it. So rains in the Indian NE states for another day or two.

Cyclone often weaken quickly after landfall. That seems to be happening with Mahasen.

I will not be surprised if the sun shines on some parts of Bangladesh tomorrow.

Final Track/Path Of Mahasen

MAHASEN CROSSES INTO BANGLADESH MAY 16, 2013

SATELLITE IMAGE OF MAHASEN. TODAY MAY 16, 2013. 1.00 PM (IST)

Mahasen cyclone is before time. It has already touched the Bangladesh coast at Patuakhali district and will hit Chittagong soon.

Patuakhali recorded winds of about 100 kph.

Very strong winds are expected in Bangladesh for another 12 hours.

It is already raining heavily now in Bangladesh. 

Assam and other NE states is receiving heavy rains now. They will continue for another 24 hours.

MAHASEN NEARS CHITTAGONG! HEAVY RAINS LASH BANGLADESH!

INFRA-RED IMAGE OF MAHASEN TODAY (12.00 NOON, IST) MAY 16, 2013

"MAHASEN" NEARS CHITTAGONG! WILL HIT TODAY EVENING. IT IS RAINING VERY HEAVILY IN KOLKATA AND WEST BENGAL.

CYCLONE 'MAHASEN' LATEST FORECAST UPDATE: MAY 16, WEDNESDAY, 12.45 PM (BDT), 12.15 PM (IST)

Mahasen is currently about 200 kms SE of Chittagong.

Under its influence, large parts of Bangladesh are reeling under heavy rains. Heavy rains have started in Dhaka. The current winds will increase as Mahasen cross the coast. Strong winds are likely for at least another 12 hours.

When its hits the Bangladesh coast late afternoon May 16, 2013 wind speeds of about 85 kph will lash CHITTAGONG and neigboring areas.

When MAHASEN slams into the Bangladesh coast today it will be accompanied with very heavy rains, strong winds (>85 kph) and waves of 12 feet.

Areas withing a 200 km radius of Chittagong will feel the strongest winds. Cox's Bazar will get a severe lashing.

Very heavy rainfall is expected in Bangladesh today and tomorrow. Heavy rains are already lashing the country and parts of West Bengal.

Assam and other NE states will receive heavy rains on May 16-18. Mizoram and Manipar will get strong winds and heavy rains starting today night.

Eastern and southern Bangladesh, and northern Myanmar (including Yangon) will feel the effects of the storm.

Latest Satellite Image Mahasen> Today May 16, 2013, 6.00 AM (BDT)

SATELLITE IMAGE OF MAHASEN TAKEN TODAY, MAY 16, 2013, 6.00 AM (BDT)

XTREME WEATHER FORECAST FOR LAYMEN: CYCLONE MAHASEN COMING EARLIER! TO HIT BANGLADESH COAST TOMORROW (MAY 16, 2013) AFTERNOON!

XTREME WEATHER FORECAST FOR LAYMEN: CYCLONE MAHASEN COMING EARLIER! 
TO HIT BANGLADESH COAST TOMORROW (MAY 16, 2013) AFTERNOON!

People of Chittagong await "Mahasen" on Thursday

CYCLONE REACHING BANGLADESH TOMORROW (MAY 16, 2013) AFTERNOON.

CYCLONE 'MAHASEN' LATEST FORECAST UPDATE: MAY 15, WEDNESDAY, 9.30 PM (BDT), 9.00 PM (IST)

Mahasen hovers in the Bay of Bengal. The nature's juggernaut moves inexorably towards its final destination. Ground zero is Chittagong

It has started intensifying and will reach speeds up to 95 kph (or more). It will hit the Bangladesh coast late afternoon May 16, 2013. That is Thursday afternoon.

When MAHASEN slams into the Bangladesh coast tomorrow it will be accompanied with very heavy rains, strong winds (>85 kph) and waves of 12 feet.

Very heavy rainfall is expected in Bangladesh on May 16, 2013 beginning today night as the storm comes near.

Assam and other NE states will receive heavy rains on May 16-18.

Eastern and southern Bangladesh, and northern Myanmar (including Yangon) will feel the effects of the storm.

LATEST CYCLONE "MAHASEN" UPDATE, MAY 14, 2013: Now Moving Towards Bangla Coast, Will Hit On May 17

RAIN PREDICTION MAP: VERY HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED IN BANGLADESH ON MAY 17, 2013.

In the last few hours Mahasen was changing course. Now it is slowly curving a path to Bangladesh. And it is expected to grow in intensity. In the next two days it will touch wind speed of about 130 kph.

It is expected to touch the Bangladesh coast on May 17, 2013. Very strong gale will lash the coastal areas with speeds up to 120 kph. It will be accompanied with heavy rains. Intermittent rains have already started in the country which will increase as the storm comes closer.

We are basing our predictions mainly on what the JTWC (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) says. Please note that the IMD differs in its forecast. IMD says wind speeds will be much lesser. But now even IMD says that the wind speed will be 90+ kph.

We will keep you updated.

LATEST MAHASEN FORECAST UPDATE, MAY 13, 2013: To Intensify Next 2 Days To 130 Kmph, Hit Chittagong On May 17

Satellite image of "Mahasen" taken today at 12.30 PM (IST)

Now is the time that Mahasen will start curving NNE towards Bangladesh. And it is going to intensify further in the next two days into a big big storm. Contrary to what the IMD says,  Mahasen is going to be a very big storm. Its wind speeds will touch a mind boggling 130 kph on the 15th of May. Even when it hits Chittagong on the morning of May 17, it will throw a gale of a 100 kph.

The Bangladesh authorities have wisely started all precautions on a war footing.

It will be the strongest when it will be 400 kms south of Kolkata on May 15.

Mahasen is giving lots of rain on the Indian coast. It has been raining heavily in Andhra Pradesh since yesterday. Today the Tamil Nadu coast got a deluge.

Gangetic West Bengal and Bangladesh will receive very heavy rains from May 16.

XtremeWeather Forecast Map: Forecasted Psth of "MAHASEN"

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