Imminent Arabian Sea 'Low' Will Propel Monsoons

On the monsoon front the news are disheartening. Monsoon 2015 has left top meteorological agencies perplexed and professional weather forecasters have gone into a shell.

Things may change soon. Forecast models predict a low pressure area forming in the east central Arabian Sea on around June 5-6, 2015. This low pressure area or depression (Some models also say may be a cyclone) will rejuvenate the monsoon rains.

Increased rainfall is expected in Kerala and Karnataka from June 3, 2015, which will further intensify with the formation of the aforementioned low. If that low does occur, the rains may reach Maharashtra coast within days after that.

It all depends on where the low decides to go. If it sticks close to the Indian west coast, then the rains will reach Mumbai by June 10. Otherwise the rains will go to Gujarat or Sindh (Some say even Oman). SEE XWF-WEATHER INDICATIONS

Looks like we have very wet stormy weather ahead after June 5, 2015. It all depends on the Arabian Sea 'low'.

Read Arabian Sea Storm Possibilities And Latest Updates
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RAINFALL FORECAST FOR INDIA TILL JUNE 5, 2015

In the next three days the rains will be active mainly in Tamil Nadu. Very heavy rainfall is forecast for the entire state in the next 48 hours.

After June 3, 2015, the rains will gradually move westwards towards Karnataka coast. The formation of a low pressure area off the coast on June 5, 2015 will lead to heavy precipitation in coastal Karnataka from June 5, 2015. The rain will spread to southern Maharashtra coast and the entire west coast of Indian by June 6.

So we see a rejuvenation of monsoons from June 4.

THE MAP SHOWS TOTAL RAINFALL FROM JUNE 1 TO JUNE 6, 2015. THE MONSOONS WILL PICK UP IN A DAY OR TWO.

Latest Cyclone Hudhud Update: Will Enter Visakhapatnam, Saturday Midnight, 11/10/2014 With 200 KPH Winds

Latest forecasts from the JTWC says that cyclone Hudhud will touch the Indian Andhra coast at midnight Saturday, October 11, 2014 with winds of 200 Kph, gusting up to 250 Kph.

The JTWC in its latest bulletin issued at 8:00 AM today says it is going to intensify rapidly and make landfall at Visakhapatnam on Sunday morning.

"FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IMPROVE, ALLOWING TC 03B TO STEADILY INTENSIFY PRIOR TO LANDFALL NEAR VISAKHAPATNAM."

There is no doubt that the storm is going to hit the Andhra coast at Visakhapatnam. Odisha can take a sigh of relief. But some districts of the state will experience the strong winds of the cyclone. Entire Odisha will receive heavy rains in the next three days.We have dealt with how and where the storm will  affect the most in an earlier article.

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Possible Super TYPHOON VONGFONG Heading Towards Japan

We had written a few days ago of Japan's coming woes. Even as Typhoon Phanfone batters the country another tropical storm hovers in the Pacific. Typhoon Vongfong.

Forecasts say this Vongfong is going to be another super typhoon. As bad as Phanfone.

The JTWC says on its way to Japan, Vongfong will have winds of 230 kph to 280 kph. A super typhoon. A US category 5 storm.

Vongfong is slowly going to move towards Japan in the next few days until it nears the country on October 10, 2014. After that it will kind of stand still for the next three days till October 13, 2014. That is the most worrying part. A tropical storm just stands near still near the coast. In 1999 the super cyclone of the Orissa coast just hovered around for some time at the Orissa coast without weakening. That 1999 storm devastated Orissa.

Hope history does not repeat itself.

Typhoon Vongfong is bad news for Japan.

Philippines will not be affected by Typhoon Vongfong. Guam is in the way.

LATEST TYPHOON PHANFONE UPDATE: OCT. 5, 2014: Will Hammer Tokyo Tomorrow With 140 KPH Winds

Typhoon Phanfone will smash into Tokyo tomorrow (Monday, October 6, 2014) noon local time with winds of 140-165 kph. A category 1 or category 2 hurricane according to US standards, but still that is quite a punch. So forget motor racing and Grand Prix.

The southern parts of Japan are already bearing the brunt of the typhoon as it slides along the coast of the country with winds of 185 kph gusting up to a mammoth 225 kph. A category 3 or 4 storm.

Japan has another worry coming up as it deals with typhoon Phanfone. Another typhoon Vongfong has already formed in the Pacific and ready to move towards Japan in the coming days. More about that later.

October 5, 2014. Kagoshima, Japan. Phanfone's fury