December 15, 2014: In Next 15 Days... Perhaps...:

In this new column we make predictions on what may happen in the next 15 days. 15 days weather prediction is fraught with uncertainties. But we outline the possibilities....

• A deep depression in the Bay of Bengal may hit the Indian state of Tamil Nadu around December 30, 2014. Very heavy rains possible.
• A strong typhoon may develop west of the Philippines coast in the South China Sea on December 26, 2014. Destination? Wait for next issue.
• The present depression "Bakung" in the south Indian Ocean will intensify into a cyclone and hit Rodrigues Island on Christmas Day

Just One Point: Please Don't Question Our Integrity

Someone just wrote to us...."Kindly be accurate in giving out the information as this is a serious matter which needs to be addressed and prepared for. Just don't give the Prediction and projections unless it is positively CONFIRMED."

 We replied...."We know this is a serious matter. If one is looking for 100% confirmed forecasts, this is not possible in today's world even with the biggest supercomputers, as any meteorologist will tell you. If one is looking for greater accuracy, then wait for the weather bulletins by the country's Met office. What we do is give indications of a possibility of a tropical storm WELL IN ADVANCE. Sometimes we are proved wrong; Sometimes we are proved right. We are bloggers, not the country's official Met department. And our forecasts are based on real trusted forecast models, not our whims and fancies"
Link

Expected Bay Of Bengal Cyclone MURJAN Will Hit Orissa On October 29, 2012

Cyclone Murjan will hit Orissa on October 28, 2012

We had predicted earlier that the expected tropical cyclone Murjan which is going to form in the Bay of Bengal (North Indian Ocean) will touch the Orisaa coast and then move into West Bengal.

Well, Murjan seems to have changed its mind. It is going to shower its "affections" only on Orissa. It is expected to hit the coast  at Gopalpur-in-sea on October 28, 2012 and drench the state in the next two days.



Point of impact. Murjan will hit the Orissa coat at Gopal-on-sea on October 28, 2012



Murjan is going to be a big nasty storm. High winds. Heavy rains. Super cyclone? May be.

It is time the Orissa government (I am sure they already are) start preparing for the worst. Murjan is going to be big bad boy.

Predicted path of cyclone "Murjan". October 26, 2012 to Oct. 28, 2012