Showing posts with label Andhra. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Andhra. Show all posts

Rain-Maker Depression To Deluge Andhra, Maharashtra, Mumbai By September 20, 2015

We had predicted a low pressure/depression in the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea almost a week ago. The system will form on September 14, 2015 near the Andhra coast.

The Bay of Bengal is already showing increased storm activity in preparation of the birth of the rain maker weather system.

The low pressure area will form off the eastern coast of India near Andhra Pradesh and hover around for the next two days till September 18 bringing heavy rainfall in Andhra Pradesh.

It will then cross the coast and move through Andhra, Telangana, Northern Karnataka, Maharashtra onto Mumbai.

Very heavy rains are expected in Mumbai on September 20.

The low pressure area will then intensify again in the warm waters of the Arabian Sea into a depression/deep depression (Forecasts rule out a tropical cyclone presently, but 10 days is a long long time in weather forecasting. Anything can happen).

The depression is expected to move along the Saurashtra coast into the open sea and reach the coast of central Oman on September 23, 2015. Though the European model believes it will move into Gujarat on September 20. We have to wait awhile before the picture becomes clearer.

In a nutshell the low pressure area is going to bring very heavy rains to Andhra to Mumbai from September 14.

 A SECOND DEPRESSION IN THE BAY OF BENGAL?

A forecast model predicts a depression moving into Odisha on September 21, 2015, but this is yet to be confirmed by other models. It appears that the present low pressure area in the South China Sea is going to do a lot of travelling over Vietnam, Thailand and Myanmar and then hop over into the Bay of Bengal on September 19. This will then gain strength and become a deep depression and hit Odisha as we have said earlier. Chances are this predicted system has the makings of another tropical cyclone. As there are  10 more days to go and forecasts have the habit of changing in these many days.

Bay of Bengal depression Odisha September 21, 2015
The European Model predicts this low in the South China Sea will hit Odisha on September 21, 2015


Cyclone CHAPALA to from off Konkan coast on September 20, 2015?

Monitor Bay of Bengal, Arabian Sea LIVE

Bay of Bengal Arabian Sea depression low pressure area September 2015
The depression as seen on September 21, 2015, moving away from the Indian coast off Mumbai.

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Cyclone Hudhud Update: 11:00 AM: 12/10/2014: The Eye Is Crossing Into Andhra Now



The eye of Cyclone Hudhud is crossing into the Andhra coast right now  (Near Vijayanagaram). The eye of the storm is the center of the storm, an area of diameter of 30 Kms. In the eye of the storm is a deceptive area of calm, with no winds, no rains; Lulling one to believe that the storm has past. But soon it starts all over again, as the other half of the cyclone starts crossing. More strong winds, heavy rains again.

Winds of 175 Kph will be experienced till 6:00 PM (IST) today evening (Sunday) in the Andhra districts of Srikakulam, Vijayanagaram and Visakhapatnam. In Orissa, Koraput will be hard hit.

According to the Indian Navy, the maximum winds felt at Visakhapatnam were around 200 Kph.

Expect another 6-8 hours of strong winds (lower than before, as the storm will start weakening) and heavy rains.

Winds of 150+ Kph Still expected till 6:00 PM (IST) in Visakhapatanm and nearby areas.



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CYCLONE HUDHUD LATEST UPDATE: A MONSTER, A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE: VIZAG TO SEE 240 KPH WINDS SATURDAY EVE

Satellite image Of Cyclone HUDHUD taken today (9/10/2014) at 5:30 AM (IST)

Cyclone Hudhud is already whipping winds of 80 Kph. And it is going to rapidly  intensify further. in the next few hours. It is now 700 Kms from Visakhapatnam.

We had said that Hudhud would be no Vongfong. We were wrong. This storm will turn out to be a monster. With winds when it hits Visakhapatnam on Saturday late evening will be over 200 Kph. The IMD will call it a "Very Severe Cyclonic Storm". According to the Saffir-Simpson Scale Hudhud will be a Category 4 storm.

Cyclone Hudhud (According to predictions now) will be just short of a Super Cyclone. Hudhud is going to be as bad (If not worse than) as Phailin.

Ground Zero will be the towns of ELAMANCHILI and ANAKAPALLE just south of Vizag

When it hits the Indian shores near Visakhapatnam on Saturday evening (Local Time) the winds will be 215 Kph, gusting up to a whopping 260 Kph.

A word of advice to folks living on the Andhra-Orissa border coast. Run. And now. The storm is going to come on Saturday evening (October 11, 2014).

Latest Forecast Track Path of Cyclone Hudhud (9/10/2014)


NASA image of Ground Zero. This where Cyclone Hudhud is going to come in two days

Expected Path-Track of Cyclone Hudhud
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Cyclone Hudhud Will Bring Heavy Rains To Andhra And Orissa : Oct. 10-13, 2014

Cyclone Hudhud will not only bring powerful winds, but very heavy rainfall. Not only to Andhra (Visakhapatnam is Ground Zero) but also Orissa, West Bengal, Madhya Pradesh and Chattisgarh (And Even Uttar Pradesh).

The rains will start from October 10, 2014. Friday. And will continue for the next three days. Seemandhra of course will see most of the flooding. But Orissa will also receive heavy rains from Saturday to Monday.

There will be floods in these two states.

Rainfall Forecast Map Owing to Cyclone Hudhud


The map shows the amount of rainfall that Cyclone Hudhud will bring from Today till Sunday, October 12, 2014
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