Progress of monsoon into Gujarat has been sluggish. It has covered half the state and stopped. This is because a big rain system moved into the Arabian Sea instead of moving into the state. It gave good showers to coastal Saurashtra and moved into the north Arabian Sea and lies as a low pressure area dumping precious water into the sea. The system will hover around and dissipate in mid sea without benefitting Gujarat, Sindh or Oman.
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The low pressure area over north Arabian Sea has intensified into a tropical cyclone 02A. But as we have predicted earlier it will subside in the sea itself in a couple of days.
We are monitoring the storm and will update you on fresh developments.
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But rescue is at hand for parched Saurashtra Kutch Sindh. The Bay of Bengal will hurl another big rainmaker which will move through Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Vidarbha, western Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Kutch and finally reach coastal Sindh on June 30.
The Bay of Bengal is going to throw out another bigger rain system that will push monsoon into entire India. The system will end up over Rajasthan or Gujarat on July 5-6.
I guess this will because La Niña is on the rise. Drenching rains are on the cards in early July as monsoon will change gears.
Welcome July. Welcome La Niña.
6 comments:
Hello,
I have been following your updates for last 3 years. Please tell us about Saurashtra. Is there any hope for Saurashtra, specially in Jamnagar because we have been facing a draught for last 2 years. There is no ground water available. The situation is very serious here. Pls answer....
Sir the system from BOB will only affect the costal sind or it will give rain in entire sindh
Very heavy rains are expected in entire Saurashtra including Jamnagar in early July 2016. Also entire Sindh will receive good rainfall including Karachi soon.
Hi. Thanks for your updates.
By when should we expect good rainfall in Karachi so that we can plan accordingly for Eid .
Thanks
Danisch
Good rainfall expected in north Gujarat, Kutch, coastal Sindh on June 30-July 1.
Dear Admin,
Thanks for your timely updates.
What about next spell in coastal Sindh, Specially in Karachi.
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