June 13, 2014. The Arabian Sea Tropical Storm About To Hit Oman
A low pressure area has been spawned in the Arabian Sea. Area is 5 Degrees North, 68 Degrees East. This looks ominous. The timing is right. June. As we have said before the month of June is one when the North Indian Ocean gets restless and throws out a cyclone.
And when a low pressure area develops in the Arabian Sea in June. That spells trouble. The reliable GFS forecast seems to confirm our worst fears.
Yes.
A big bad storm has just been born. And the GFS forecast says it is going to grow into a big mean tropical storm. Where is it going to go? Oman.
The GFS forecast says that the low pressure area will gradually start moving northward along the Indian coast and gradually gain strength. Around the 10th of June, 2014, it will suddenly swing NW and hit Oman on June 13, 2014. The province which will face the brunt of the storm is Ash Sharqiyah.
May be Cyclone Nanauk is coming. After all.
But a word of caution. It is early days. The low pressure area may just fizzle out without developing into a significant storm.
Exploring this scenario further, if a storm fails to form, the monsoon system will move gradually up the Indian west coast and bring rains to Mumbai on June 15, 2015.
We will give you the latest forecasts and confirmation (Or otherwise) from various international sources.
Alternative scenario: No storm in Oman but monsoons reach Mumbai on June 15, 2014.
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MORE RAIN PREDICTION MAPS
Alternative 1: Tropical storm hits Oman on June 13, 2014
Alternative 2: Monsoons hit Mumbai on June 15, 2015
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MORE RAIN PREDICTION MAPS
5 comments:
Thanks for the Post Editor. Really appreciate your update.
P.S Just a small correction for you post.Its should be 10 June instead of 10 May, similarly for 13 May.
Do you mean June 2014?
Correction its not may 10th 2014 , its June 10th and june 13th
Thank you all for pointing out the error.
We are waiting for the update. Thanks
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