The Storm Will Weaken When It Touches North Oman On June 13, 2014

Latest GFS forecast says the present tropical storm in the Arabian Sea will weaken and reach the shore of Oman near Khaluf as a low pressure on Friday, June 13, 2014.

In the next 36 hours it will intensify but then gradually start weakening. It will grow stronger again but start dissipating by the time it touches the Oman coast. North Oman near the town of Khaluf and coastal areas will get most rainfall. Muscat may get a shower or two.

We think it is still too early to say anything. The forecast models differ in what they predict. The countrys' met. depts. are largely quiet.

The fact is, no one knows for sure what is going to happen. Will the storm grow into a massive storm? Will it just break up in a couple of days mid sea? Or will head to Gujarat? Or to Pakistan? Or will it's remnants drift to Oman?

No one is sure.

Interestingly the NAEFS (North American Ensemble Forecasting System) agrees with the GFS prediction. Remains of the storm will touch Oman on Friday 13, 2014.

The NAEFS agrees with the GFS. The storm will be strongest on Wednesday, June 11, 2014

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This what the Oman Met Officials said according to a report in the Times of Oman 5 hours ago.......

Muscat: A low pressure area has formed in the eastern Arabian Sea, a senior official of the Directorate General of Meteorology and Air Navigation (DGMAN) said on Monday, adding it was being monitored.

"No direct impact is expected on Oman's skies in the next 96 hours," he claimed.

The low pressure may gain strength due to the presence of a very warm pool of water over the next 36 to 48 hours and make a landfall on Friday or Saturday morning. "But we are not sure about the direction it will take," the official said.

This comes after some social networking sites said that a low pressure formed over the Arabian Sea is going to intensify into a big cyclone and will hit Oman coast on June 14.

"Recent weather charts show there is good chance of formation of a tropical depression near the Indian coast during the next 48 hours," the DGMAN said in a statement.

The official stressed that the DGMAN closely tracks the weather condition on a daily basis. The DGMAN has urged the citizens and residents to follow only official versions of weather forecasts.

"People should verify information and follow daily weather broadcasts," the official added.

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Latest satellite Infra-Red Image of the Arabian Sea Tropical Cyclone

Cyclone Nanauk Update: To Hit Oman Coast Near Khaluf On June 13 Friday Night

June 13, 2014. Friday. Powerful Cyclone NANAUK About To Hit Oman Near Khaluf

Latest forecast for expected tropical cyclone NANAUK is that it is going to hit the north Oman coast near the town of Khaluf on the night of June 13,2014 (Friday). The island towns of Kalban and Dawwah will be worst hit.

The wind speeds when Nanauk hits Oman will be in excess of 80 Kmph. Torrential rainfall will accompany the winds.

We think the Oman authorities should wake up to the emerging hazard. I am sure the Omani Met office will be closely monitoring the situation.

We have only a week. Unless Nanauk changes its mind and moves to Pakistan or Gujarat.

A final word for those who are sceptical. Do not forget to tune in to BBC or listen to what the country's met. office has to say on Monday, June 9, 2014.

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