Low pressure area to form in south Arabian Sea today. Birth of Cyclone NANAUK?

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA FORMS ON JUNE 8, 2014

The much dreaded low pressure area will form in the southern Arabian Sea on Sunday, June 8, 2014. Why I say dreaded is because such a system forming at this time of the year usually means trouble. Read that as a big bad cyclone.

I write this update with some confidence because three forecasts, GFS, CMC and NAVGEM confirm the formation of the low pressure area.

CMC and NAVGEM say outright that cyclone Nanauk is coming. The dates differ. NAVGEM says the cyclone is going to hit Oman on June 13, 2014. CMC gives a latter date.

The more trusted GFS model confirms the formation of a low pressure area but does not confirm that it will turn into a cyclone. Let us see what it says later.

June 11, 2014. The NAVGEM forecast model shows cyclone Nanauk hurtling towards Oman.