April 19, 2016
South Asia and India are in for record monsoon rains in 2016 if the United States NOAA's ( National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Agency) NMME forecast model is to be believed.
South Asia and India are in for record monsoon rains in 2016 if the United States NOAA's ( National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Agency) NMME forecast model is to be believed.
Roughly put it predicts rains in excess of 10% above normal. Western India will receive the most rains, though the trend will be seen all over the country, except the states of Odisha and West Bengal.
And surprisingly the deluge is expected to continue till November.
Parts of western India including Gujarat will receive rains about 2-4 inches above normal.
Given below are forecast maps for June-November by the NMME (North American Multi-Model Ensemble). It shows the anomalies , that is excess or deficient rains than the average. The blue denotes an excess of more than 100 mm. The green denotes excess from 1-100 mm. The orange colour denotes deficient rainfall. Darker orange means scantier rains.
According to this forecasts even Pakistan and Oman will get above average precipitation in the coming months.
Another surprise from this prediction is that the usually wet Myanmar (Burma) will receive deficient rains this year.
Canadian Forecast Monsoon 2016
El Niño Waning, Indian Monsoon Will Be Good
NMME Monsoon May 2016 Prediction
Canadian Forecast Monsoon 2016
El Niño Waning, Indian Monsoon Will Be Good
NMME Monsoon May 2016 Prediction
June 2016: Good rains in the four southern states, Bihar and Saurashtra
July 2016: Rainfall all over India except Gangetic West Bengal and Odisha.
August 2016: Very good rains in Gujarat, Rajasthan, Uttarakhand and Himachal.
September 2016: Deluge in Saurashtra, Uttarakhand and Konkan.
October 2016: Good rains in Odisha, Malabar and coastal Karnataka.
November 2016: Surprisingly rains in November all over India except western Rajasthan and Kutch
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