There is a good chance of rains arriving in northern Oman on June 30, 2017. The reason? A cyclonic circulation that is expected to form off the Saurashtra coast in India in the next 48-72 hours. Though there is also the possibility of the system forming around June 30, not June 27-28.
The track of the expected rainmaker system remains unclear at present. The European model ECMWF predicts it will move onto Sindh in southern Pakistan by June 30 bringing flooding rains to coastal areas of the country.
Other equally reliable models foretell that it will weaken a little and drift west towards northern Oman. If this happens expect showers to start in the arid country from June 30. There might be showers in Muscat too if the system sustains itself.
American agency Climate Prediction Center's rainfall forecast June 24-30.
It expects monsoon to cover most of India by July 7. Interestingly it also predicts very heavy rainfall in dry Kutch region in Gujarat and parts of Rajasthan in early July.
No comments:
Post a Comment