NEPARTAK WEAKENS FURTHER, ENTERS CHINA
The once mighty super typhoon has weakened into a tropical storm as it entered Fujian province of China. It will further weaken into a low pressure area in the coming days as it moves into Jiangxi and Anhui provinces. Lots of rainfall expected there in the next couple of days.
JULY 8, 2016
TYPHOON MAKES LANDFALL INTO TAIWAN
NEPARTAK weakened to a category 2 hurricane and made landfall into Taiwan at 5:50 AM local time with winds of 191 km/h, gusts upto 234 km/h.
It will hit the Chinese mainland tomorrow as a tropical cyclone. The satellite image of 0650 hours GMT, July 8 shows the eye of the storm has left Taiwan.
JULY 7, 2016
NEPARTAK WILL HIT TAIWAN TOMORROW
The category 5 hurricane lay about 435 kilometres southeast of Taipei at 0900 hours GMT today. It is expected to hit Taiwan on July 8 as a category 4 storm. As it traverses the country it will rapidly weaken and then make landfall into Fujian province of China on July 9, 2016.
Below is the latest track forecast for NEPARTAK issued by JTWC at 0900 UTC, July 7.
JULY 6, 2016
NEPARTAK A SUPER TYPHOON NOW, TO HIT TAIWAN JULY 8
Contrary to earlier expectations NEPARTAK has intensified rapidly into a super typhoon with winds in excess of 140 knots, 260 km/h. Wind gusts upto an astounding 314 km/h. At 0300 hours GMT July 6 it lay 1135 kilometres southeast of Taipei.
It will weaken after hitting central Taiwan on July 8, 2016, but the country is in for big trouble. The super typhoon is going to rip through the island, then weaken rapidly and enter Fujian province of China on July 9. It will bring heavy rains in Shanghai and South Korea as a depression later on.
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center though believes it will move into Zhenjiang province and Shanghai.
JULY 5, 2016
NEPARTAK is an unpredictable storm. Forecast models are changing their predictions as to where it will go. Latest possibility is that it will skim past the northern tip of Taiwan on July 7, move past Shanghai on July 9 and then curve and pass through South Korea on July 11, weaken and bring heavy precipitation to southern Japan on July 12.
Below is the latest track and intensify forecast. It will be touching sustained wind speeds of 115 knots, 200 km/h when it will pass by northern Taiwan on July 7-8.
Latest forecast is that NEPARTAK will reach peak strength on July 7 with 225 km/h winds. Will move through northern Taiwan on July 7-8, Chinese province of Zhejiang on July 9.
JULY 4, 2016, TYPHOON NEPARTAK UPDATE
Latest data suggests NEPARTAK will skip both Taiwan and China but hit Kyushu island of Japan on July 10........
Latest data from numerical forecast models suggest typhoon NEPARTAK is going to be stronger than earlier expected. The JTWC expects it to reach peak wind speeds of 110 knots, that is 195 km/h on July 7 as it barrels through the island of Ishikajnma before hitting northern Taiwan. The JTWC does not expect a direct hit on Taiwan but we think the storm will pass right through northern Taiwan in the early hours (GMT) of July 8.
Another change in our forecast is that NEPARTAK after weakening, drenching Shanghai on July 9 will not go to Korea but pass through the Chinese province of Jiangsu on July 10.
The storm lay 340 kilometres west-south-west of Guam at 0400 hours GMT on July 4, 2016. Sustained winds of 80 km/h, gusting upto 95 km/h.
The latest track forecast for NEPARTAK by JTWC. It does not envisage a direct hit on Taiwan or China. We disagree.
NEPARTAK is a tropical depression south of Guam presently but within next 12 hours it will have intensified into a tropical cyclone. It will not affect Guam or Philippines.
In the coming days it will move towards Taiwan and move past the northern tip of the country on July 7. Typhoon NEPARTAK is expected to hit the Chinese province of Zhenjiang at Wenzhou on July 8, 2016 with wind speeds of about 150 km/h.
The storm will move through Zhenjiang and emerge into the sea at Shanghai and weaken and enter South Korea as a depression on July 11.
The JTWC, Joint Typhoon Warning Center, predicts the typhoon will be at its strongest on July 7 with sustained winds of 180 km/h.
No comments:
Post a Comment