The monsoons are going to intensify rapidly in the coming few days with the formation of a depression in the Bay Of Bengal on June 20, 2015.
The intensification will be two pronged. The depression in the Bay of Bengal on June 20. And the formation of a low/cyclonic circulation in the Arabian Sea soon.
Let us discuss in details.
DEEP DEPRESSION OFF ANDHRA COAST JUNE 20, 2015
The low pressure area near the Andhra coast has already formed. It will intensify into a depression (May be a deep depression) by June 20.
It will move through Andhra, Chattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh in the following days.
Very to very heavy rainfall expected in these states after June 20, 2015.
The system will swing north into Rajasthan-western Uttar Pradesh on June 24, 2015.
HEAVY RAINS IN GUJARAT, SINDH LIKELY IN A WEEK
A low is expected to form in the Arabian Sea after June 20, 2015. It will start off as a trough off the Mumbai coast and then organize itself in low around June 22.
This will further intensify into a depression and move through Gujarat and then enter Sindh in Pakistan.
Very heavy precipitation is expected in these area after June 22, 2015.
It is possible the system may not organize into a low but remain a upper air cyclonic circulation. But it will be a big rain maker.
Presently both major computer models are supporting heavy rains in western India after June 20. The GFS predicts a track of Saurashtra-Kutch-Sindh. The European model says it will move towards Mumbai-South Gujarat.
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2 comments:
Which date chance heavy rain in north gujarat area...
Around June 22, 2015, good rains in entire Gujarat expected.
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