Now that Cyclone Mahasen has disintegrated rapidly and moved over we can deal with a new possibility. A tropical storm in the Arabian Sea? Is PHAILIN cyclone coming this May?
Forecast models have been flashing signs of its possibility. But the problem is that prediction models do not say with certainty and in successive forecasts that the storm in the Arabian Sea is coming.
So we cannot predict with any certainty.
Yes, forecast models do say that a low pressure area will arise in the Arabian Sea off the Indian coast near Kerala on around May 22, 2013. They further say that the system will move WNW and finally hit southern Oman on May 30, 2013 and bring very heavy rains there.
When the forecast crystallizes into something concrete, we can be sure of a cyclone in the Arabian Sea this May.
Forecasts say only a low pressure area for now. Will turn into a cyclone? Time will tell.
We will keep you informed
Forecast models have been flashing signs of its possibility. But the problem is that prediction models do not say with certainty and in successive forecasts that the storm in the Arabian Sea is coming.
So we cannot predict with any certainty.
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| OMAN RAINS, MAY 30, 2013. WILL IT HAPPEN? |
When the forecast crystallizes into something concrete, we can be sure of a cyclone in the Arabian Sea this May.
Forecasts say only a low pressure area for now. Will turn into a cyclone? Time will tell.
We will keep you informed
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