Heavy Rainfall In Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Jammu, Kashmir Till July 13

JULY 11, 2017, TUESDAY 

Even as the low pressure area hovering over eastern Uttar Pradesh drenches the state, monsoon is preparing to assault the last bastion in India, Jammu and Kashmir. 

Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected in Uttarakhand, parts of western Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and some districts of Kashmir in the coming 48 hours. The spell of rainfall in these areas will peter out by July 13-14.

Surprisingly, Delhi, Haryana, Punjab will receive comparatively less rainfall in the next 2 days.

In the same period, parts of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Bengal will continue to be lashed by rains.

It is is only by July 14-15 when the center of gravity of the monsoon shifts to Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat that these parts of northern and eastern India will get some respite from the incessant downpours.

From June 15-16, the region to watch is Gujarat as a low pressure system is going to flood the state for days.

Despite claims Delhi is not expected to receive very heavy rains in the next 2-3 days. Intermittent showers describes it better.

Heavy Rains In Lucknow, Uttarakhand Likely

JULY 5, 2017, WEDNESDAY

The monsoon is going to hit Lucknow hard today. Besides the region surrounding the capital of Uttar Pradesh (Allahabad, Kanpur) it is going to rain heavily in parts of Uttarakhand in the next 36 hours.

Between July 7-9 the rains will take a mini break with no significant monsoon activity likely in that period. 

On July 10 it will be back to normal in Uttar Pradesh, especially in the eastern parts. Remarkably Varanasi and eastern UP is receiving phenomenal amounts of rain in the last few days.

By July 12 the rains will stretch to Delhi, Haryana, Punjab and Jammu, Kashmir. 

By July 14 the monsoon will turn its attention to central India. Eastern Rajasthan and western Madhya Pradesh. A cyclonic circulation is going to form there which may move onto Gujarat by July 15.

The GFS model is persistently predicting two low pressure system in the coming days.

Number 1: Forms off the Saurashtra coast on July 14.

Number 2: Forms over Bangladesh on July 15-16. Moves to Madhya Pradesh by July 20-21.

हिंदी में पढ़े 

Western Disturbance To Bring Rain/Snow To North India

APRIL 4, 2017

Another western disturbance is approaching northern India. It will bring rains to Delhi today evening. Heavy snowfall will result in parts of Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh till Friday.

Temperatures will plummet as a result in Rajasthan, Gujarat, Delhi, and northern India by as much as 4-6 degrees centigrade in the coming days.

Showers will begin Tuesday evening in capital Delhi. There might be more showers on Wednesday.

Uttarakhand, parts of Haryana, Punjab, Jammu and parts of Himachal Pradesh will see intermittent showers in the coming 72 hours. Shimla and parts of Himachal Pradesh may see snowfall.

Heavy rains are also likely in northern Pakistan around Lahore in the next 48 hours.