Cyclone NILOFAR Update: November 30, 2014, 0300 Hrs GMT: Cyclone Will Disintegrate Mid Sea By Tomorrow

Cyclone Nilofar will subside before making landfall.

The westerly winds will sound the death knell of Cyclone Nilofar. Presently it is about 700 kms from Naliya. It is quite strong now with 100 Kph to 125 Kph winds. But it is weakening rapidly by the hour. By Friday afternoon it will be history. Just a low pressure area that will bring some showers to Sindh in Pakistan and Kachchh (Also parts of Saurashtra} in India till Sunday (November 2, 2014].

Western Kachchh and Karachi will remain windy till Saturday along with some rainfall.

How much rain will Nilofar cause? From now till November 2, 2014

The 5:30 AM (IST] bulletin by the Indian Met.for #CycloneNilofar

The JTWC latest bulletin issued at 0300 Hrs, (GMT] October 30, 2014, says Nilofar will break up completely into low pressure area Saturday night before making landfall

Cyclone NILOFAR: How Will It Affect India and Pakistan?

Latest Infra-Red Satellite Image of Cyclone Nilofar : 1200 HRS GMT, October 29, 2014

The lady is in the Arabian Sea throwing out winds howling at 200-230 Kph. Cyclone Nilofar is slowly inching towards land. The lands affected will be India and Pakistan.

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LATEST UPDATE: The cyclone will start weakening from tomorrow (Thursday)

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The winds will be worst at the Kachchh and Sindh coast. The IMD says they will be 80-100 Kph. That is much better than 200 Kph. Look what Hudhud did to Vizag.

The winds will start from Thursday afternoon and continue till Saturday. Worst will be on Friday. Karachi is in for a battering with 100 Kph winds. Dwarka and Kachchh districts will get off with 60-80 Kph winds. But northern Kachchh (Koteshwar) will get a 100 Kph hammering.

The ports of Okha, Jamnagar (Bedi and Sikka), Navlakhi, Kandla, Mundra, Kandla will feel winds of 50-70 Kph on Friday

 Nilofar is going to bring rains. The heaviest will be in Sindh (Karachi included). Kachchh will get off with slightly less rain. Vagaries of nature!

Heaviest rains are expected in Sindh (SE parts, Karachi included). Flooding may occur.

In India rains are expected in Kachchh, west and north Rajasthan (heaviest around Bikaner and Jaisalmer). Showers expected even in Jaipur, Haryana and Delhi on November 1-2, 2014.

Rain Forecast Map: Cyclone Nilofar: From now till November 2, 2014

Total rainfall from Cyclone Nilofar: Where and how much?

Latest Update: Cyclone Nilofar: Is Strongest Now: Gusting At 230 Kph

Nilofar will make landfall here on November 1, 2014, early morning (IST)

Contrary to expectations, Cyclone Nilofar did not turn into a Category 4 Hurricane. It is at its strongest now. It is about 900 kms from Karachi and 400 SW of Masirah in Oman. It has average winds of about 195 Kph, gusting up to 230 Kph.

It has started curving now towards the Gujarat-Sindh border which it will hit on Saturday (November 1, 2014) early morning (IST and PST) at Koteshwar in Kachchh (India). It will hit land with winds of 80-90 Kph gusting up to 110 Kph. This what the JTWC predicts.

There is some disagreement between the JTWC and GFS about the cyclone.

GFS forecasts say Nilofar will hit Naliya (Gujarat) on Friday (October 31, 2014). That is a day earlier.

Either way, coastal Sindh is in for very strong winds and rains. As is northern Kachchh.

The rains will start from tomorrow (Thursday) afternoon and will increase all the time.

Flooding will happen in Sindh. Heavy rains expected in NW Rajasthan (Jaisalmer, Bikaner). The rains will reach Haryana and some showers in Delhi too.