APRIL 23, 2017, SUNDAY
Climate forecast models are hinting that the south west monsoon may arrive in India almost a week earlier. It is likely we may see the onset in the Indian state of Kerala around May 24, 2017.
We have written about an early monsoon almost a month ago. Our conclusion is being supported by latest forecast data from the American CFS (Coupled Forecast Model).
Forecast charts for latter half of May show a sudden increase in thunderstorm activity near Cape Comorin, the coast off Kanyakumari. There will be heavy rainfall activity in Kerala and adjoining Arabian Sea.
It is possible that from that intense rainfall activity might emerge a low pressure system or even a tropical cyclone that will push early rains into Gujarat, Rajasthan and Delhi. Or a low pressure system may move to Oman by June 1.
Earlier we had predicted that the Arabian Sea will turn active from June 1, 2017. It seems nature has preponed things by a week.
Watch the Arabian Sea in the last week of May. The rain gods are going to wake up in South Asia in a month's time from now.
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