Update: June 23, 2015, 1030 hours GMT
The European model has said depression 97A will move in a north easterly direction in the next 24 hours. Coastal Amreli district then onto South Gujarat.
The GFS in its latest data issued at 0600 GMT predicts a more northerly movement during next 24 hours. Right through Saurashtra on to north and central Gujarat.
Who will win?
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IMD confirms 97A will move through Diu, Amreli district and move to South Gujarat.
The Arabian Sea Deep Depression will make landfall at Diu and then move through coastal Amreli and Bhavnagar districts to South Gujarat at Surat in the next 24 hours.
YESTERDAY’S DEPRESSION OVER NORTHEAST AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA MOVED EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS, INTENSIFIED INTO A DEEP DEPRESSION AND LAY CENTRED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 23RD JUNE 2015, OVER NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF SOUTH GUJARAT COAST NEAR LATITUDE 20.5°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 70.5°EAST, ABOUT 50 KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIU. IT WOULD MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS AND CROSS SOUTH GUJARAT COAST NEAR DIU AS A DEEP DEPRESSION BY TODAY, THE 23RD JUNE 2015 AFTERNOON . ACCORDING TO LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY, INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS T 2.0. THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS IS SHEARED TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM CENTRE. LOWEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS -88.0°C. ASSOCIATED BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION OVER ARABIAN SEA NORTH OF LATITUDE 14.0°NORTH TO 22.0°NORTH AND EAST OF LONGITUDE 62.0°EAST. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 HPA. MAXIMUM SURFACE WIND SPEED IS ABOUT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. SEA CONDITION IS VERY ROUGH AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE AND ALONG AND OFF GUJARAT COAST.
The European model has said depression 97A will move in a north easterly direction in the next 24 hours. Coastal Amreli district then onto South Gujarat.
The GFS in its latest data issued at 0600 GMT predicts a more northerly movement during next 24 hours. Right through Saurashtra on to north and central Gujarat.
Who will win?
-------------------------------------------------
IMD confirms 97A will move through Diu, Amreli district and move to South Gujarat.
The Arabian Sea Deep Depression will make landfall at Diu and then move through coastal Amreli and Bhavnagar districts to South Gujarat at Surat in the next 24 hours.
YESTERDAY’S DEPRESSION OVER NORTHEAST AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA MOVED EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS, INTENSIFIED INTO A DEEP DEPRESSION AND LAY CENTRED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 23RD JUNE 2015, OVER NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF SOUTH GUJARAT COAST NEAR LATITUDE 20.5°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 70.5°EAST, ABOUT 50 KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIU. IT WOULD MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS AND CROSS SOUTH GUJARAT COAST NEAR DIU AS A DEEP DEPRESSION BY TODAY, THE 23RD JUNE 2015 AFTERNOON . ACCORDING TO LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY, INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS T 2.0. THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS IS SHEARED TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM CENTRE. LOWEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS -88.0°C. ASSOCIATED BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION OVER ARABIAN SEA NORTH OF LATITUDE 14.0°NORTH TO 22.0°NORTH AND EAST OF LONGITUDE 62.0°EAST. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 HPA. MAXIMUM SURFACE WIND SPEED IS ABOUT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. SEA CONDITION IS VERY ROUGH AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE AND ALONG AND OFF GUJARAT COAST.
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