The latest GFS forecast data that is coming in says Arabian Sea deep depression 97A may rapidly intensify in the coming 12 hours, perhaps into a tropical cyclone and hit the Saurashtra Coast at Veraval today midnight. That is 0000 hours IST, June 23, 2015, Tuesday.
It is possible that wind speeds at impact will be 70-80 km/h, gusts upto 90 km/h.
The gale will be accompanied by torrential rains.
The deep depression/cyclone will swing North after making landfall and move into Kutch.
The most affected districts will be Gir Somnath, Porbandar, Junagadh, Rajkot, Morbi, and Kutch.
One wonders if the authorities are taking this possible threat seriously. The worry is if the GFS forecast turns true, there are just 14 hours before impact.
We are constantly monitoring what various computer forecasts models are saying and also the latest IMD (Indian Meteorological Department) updates.
Please keep in touch for breaking forecasts.
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| Arabian Sea Storm Intensity Forecast from Cyclocane. Only one model says it will not turn into a tropical storm. |
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| Cyclone tracking site cyclocane.com says Arabian Sea depression 97A will be a tropical cyclone |
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