MAHASEN WILL HIT BANGLADESH COAST NEAR CHITTAGONG ON MAY 16, 2013. VERY HEAVY WINDS WILL LASH THE BANGLADESH COAST.
We had said earlier that there is a difference in how the IMD and the JTWC predict the future of Mahasen cyclone. The latest JTWC bulletin (issued today at 2.30 PM, IST) says Mahsen will be bigger storm than what IMD (and most media) says. IMD says the maximum wind speeds Mahasen will throw up will be 55-65 kmph. JTWC says the maximum speeds will be an astounding 150 kmph.
Below is a gist of what the latest JTWC forecast says....
TC 01B (MAHASEN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS..... IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN BEFORE IT TURNS NORTHEASTWARD..... THE SYSTEM WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH, AS A SIGNIFICANT CYCLONE.
JTWC PREDICTED WIND SPEEDS AND POSITION OF MAHASEN: (1 Knot= 1.852 Kmph)
PRESENT: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KNOTS, GUSTS 055 KNOTS
MAY 12 1800 HRS UTC --- 10.8N 86.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KNOTS, GUSTS 070 KNOTS
MAY 13, 0600 UTC --- 11.8N 86.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KNOTS, GUSTS 075 KNOTS
MAY 13, 1800 UTC --- 13.0N 86.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KNOTS, GUSTS 080 KNOTS
MAY 14, 0600 UTC --- 14.3N 86.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KNOTS, GUSTS 085 KNOTS
MAY 15, 0600UTC --- 17.0N 88.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KNOTS, GUSTS 100 KNOTS
MAY 16, 0600UTC --- 20.4N 91.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KNOTS, GUSTS 085 KNOTS
MAY 17, 0600 UTC --- 23.7N 94.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KNOTS, GUSTS 050 KNOTS
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| Latest May 12, 2013, 3.30 PM) Forecasted Path of MAHASEN |
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