Rain, Thunderstorms Expected In Indian North East In Coming 10 Days

APRIL 2, 2017

Pre-monsoon rainfall is in full swing in the North Eastern states of India. And they will continue in the coming 10 days according to reliable ECMWF and other European weather forecast models.

Though maximum thunderstorms will occur in Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Tripura, Manipur, Mizoram, Nagaland and Bangladesh, rains will also occur in Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh and parts of Uttarakhand in the coming 10 days. Isolated thundershowers are expected in Gangetic Bengal and coastal Odisha.

Significantly, thundershower activity will start in the Indian bellwether  state of Kerala in the coming days. The warning siren that monsoons are going to come.

Expected Low Pressure Area in Bay of Bengal Will Drench Bengal Or Bangladesh?

A low pressure area is swirling in the Bay of Bengal off the Burmese coast. Where will it go?

Forecasts differ slightly. One says it is bam-bam-woosh for Bangladesh. Very heavy rains from Monday (May26, 2014). Others say the low pressure area will first affect coastal Orissa and West Bengal.And then it will move into Bangladesh two days later, that is on Wednesday (May 28, 2014).

But expect heavy rains all the same. Question is, will it be West Bengal first. Or Bangladesh and then Assam, with West Bengal escaping with comparatively less precipitation.

 Alternative 1: The system hits Bangladesh on May 26, 2014  and then moves over into Indian NE

Alternative 2: Drenches Orisaa, West Bengal on May 26, 2014. And then moves into Bangladesh on May 28 (Wednesday).

(Will it turn into Cyclone NANAUK?)

Bangladesh, Indian NE in for a deluge on May 26-27, 2014

May 24, 2014. The massive rain-bearing low pressure as it heads into Bangladesh. Maximum rainfall will be on May 26-27, 2014.

Bangladesh is in for a real pounding by the rains gods. A low pressure area will form within a day or two off the coast of Myanmar. This system will then move north straight into Bangladesh. Thou the rains will start from Sunday (May 25, 2014), the heaviest lashing will occur on Tuesday (May 27, 2014.

The Indian NE states too will receive heavy rains as the system will move there from Bangladesh.

Chances of flooding, folks. As the precipitation will be a deluge, no less.

Heavy Rains To Lash Assam, NE India From May 22, 2014. Floods Likely

Heavy rains will start in Assam from May 22, 2014

Latest forecasts indicate that Assam is heading for floods by the end of the

month. We have predicted rains in West Bengal, Orissa and Andhra coast earlier around May 26th. But latest trends show that Assam will bear the brunt of the rain fury. The precipitation will start from May 22, 2014 and will turn heavier by May 27. The Indian North East is in for very heavy rains around May 27, 2014. 

 Danger of flooding in these areas.