JULY 23, 2017, SUNDAY
There is a strong possibility that the current low pressure system over southeast Rajasthan is not going to dissipate in the next 2-3 days as widely expected but will briefly intensify and move over Kutch region of Gujarat again by Wednesday.
The Indian Meteorological Department believes presently that the system will affect north Gujarat for another 2-3 days and then the rainfall in decreasing amounts will shift to Rajasthan.
There is another possibility. The low pressure area instead of moving northeasterly and dissipating over northeast Rajasthan, INTENSIFIES BRIEFLY AND COMES BACK TO GUJARAT, OVER KUTCH BY WEDNESDAY. Then it dissipates by Thursday/Friday when over Kutch.
If that happens then what?
Heavy rains continue in northeast Gujarat till Wednesday and then come back to crisis spots Banaskantha, Kutch, Morbi, Rajkot, Jamnagar, Surendranagar districts. Heavy rains expected in these areas on Wednesday, July 26 and Thursday, July 29.
Ahmedabad may receive almost 4 inches of rain daily Sunday to Tuesday, possibly Wednesday. Worst affected will be Ahmedabad, Patan, Banaskantha, possibly northern parts of Surendranagar district.
Sindh will not benefit much even if this possibility does become reality.
Meanwhile the Indian Meteorological Department has issued the highest red alert rainfall warning for entire Gujarat state on Sunday, Monday, Tuesday.
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