After hitting Kerala, Northeastern states and then advancing into coastal Karnataka and Goa by June 3-4, monsoon 2017 will take a break between June 4 to June 8. Rainfall activity will become relatively subdued and advance into more parts of India will stop.
This will be because a major chunk of rain clouds/thunderstorms that will form off the Goa coast will move back into the Arabian Sea from June 3 onwards.
The sluggish monsoon's will rev up again after June 8. The seas off Goa will marshal more thunderstorms. The Bay of Bengal is going to spawn a low pressure area off the Andhra coast on June 8-9.
Together these two occurrences will revive rainfall activity. Monsoon may then move up to Mumbai and Gujarat. The GFS model expects a low pressure system to form off the Mumbai coast on June 11 but this is more speculation than forecast at this stage.
Meanwhile NOAA's CPC (Climate Prediction Center) has forecast very heavy rains in many parts of India from June 7 onwards.
Good rains are possible in Maharashtra, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh from June 4 onwards. Heavy showers in Rajasthan on June 7-9.
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