APRIL 11, 2017
Something like this was bound to happen, given the searing abnormal temperatures in many parts of India. It is possible that we may see the Bay of Bengal spawn a powerful tropical cyclone by April 14-15, 2017. It will be named MAARUTHA.
Major global weather forecast models are suggesting that a low pressure area will form in the Bay of Bengal west of the Andaman Islands in the next 3-4 days.
The American GFS model says outright that this system will intensify into a powerful cyclone by April 17-18. At present it says the storm will go on and hit the northern coast of Myanmar just south of Chittagong around April 20.
Other models are more sanguine. They do predict a big depression/tropical storm but are not sure about its track. They say it will weaken into a low pressure system by April 18-19.
There is a strong possibility that the system will intensify at most into a deep depression, just short of a tropical storm.
We have to wait and see if MAARUTHA does form. And if yes, where it goes finally.
Windy torrential rainfall of 10-20 inches is expected in Andaman Islands in the coming days due to the influence of this system. And if it hits northern Myanmar expect floods in that part of the country.
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