JUNE 10, 2016
Though the monsoon has entered northern Karnataka, central Arabian Sea, Rayalseema and some parts of the Bay of Bengal, things will get stuck on the Arabian Sea side.
Rains will continue in Goa, Karnataka with showers in Konkan but for the next week the monsoon will rest on the west coast. It is expected to wake up and get vigorous only on June 18, 2016. That is what the NOAA forecast data says.
After that it will enter Maharashtra, Mumbai with a bang. By June 22 it will nudging Gujarat. But till then relative peace and calm.
The action will be seen on the Bay of Bengal side of the monsoon. A low pressure area has pushed into Myanmar and soon by June 12 it will start drenching the Indian north eastern states.
There is going to be no lull, no rest for this stream of the monsoon. It is going to go hammer and tongs in the coming days, enter north east India soon and hit Kolkata by June 17.
NOAA data says by the time the Arabian Sea branch rejuvenates on June 18, the Bay of Bengal monsoon will be racing through eastern India. By June 23 it might be knocking on the doors of Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh.
The rain forecast map below issued by NOAA's GFS model shows the TOTAL RAINFALL till June 26, 2016 (in inches). It shows only western Rajasthan and some parts of Sindh, Balochistan which remain dry. All other parts of India and Pakistan will see rains, light or heavy. Rains have reached southern Oman too, with heavy falls near Salalah.
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