Monsoon Update: Expected Arabian Sea Rain System May Hit Mumbai June 23, 2015

ARABIAN SEA LOW: MODELS GIVE COFUSING SIGNALS

The expected path of the upcoming Arabian Sea low has changed. Now it may go to Mumbai on June 23, 2015.

The low will start off as a circulation and organize iinto a low by Sunday near the Saurashtra coast off Dwarka.

Another model predicts it will remain a trough not a low pressure area.

Models presently agree it will move to the Indian west coast by June 23, 2015.

But one wonders. The forecast models are saying different things every day. Our guess is it could go anywhere. Sindh. Gujarat. Or Maharashtra.

But we can say two things with certainty.

One. The Arabian Sea is going to turn very stormy in the coming days.

Second. The expected system will be a big rain maker. Where ever it will go, we are looking at a deluge.

Monsoon is complex. Reputed sites like AccuWeather and Wunderground rarely predict right if it is going to rain in your city today or not.