ARABIAN SEA LOW: MODELS GIVE COFUSING SIGNALS
The expected path of the upcoming Arabian Sea low has changed. Now it may go to Mumbai on June 23, 2015.
The low will start off as a circulation and organize iinto a low by Sunday near the Saurashtra coast off Dwarka.
Another model predicts it will remain a trough not a low pressure area.
Models presently agree it will move to the Indian west coast by June 23, 2015.
But one wonders. The forecast models are saying different things every day. Our guess is it could go anywhere. Sindh. Gujarat. Or Maharashtra.
But we can say two things with certainty.
One. The Arabian Sea is going to turn very stormy in the coming days.
Second. The expected system will be a big rain maker. Where ever it will go, we are looking at a deluge.
Monsoon is complex. Reputed sites like AccuWeather and Wunderground rarely predict right if it is going to rain in your city today or not.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Popular Posts
-
Update: December 10, 2014 The system (96W) that has formed in the Pacific near Palau Island will not intensify into a significant tro... -
UPDATE MAY 16, 2015: DOLPHIN A SUPER TYPHOON NOW Typhoon Dolphin in a few hours will turn into a howling super typhoon with winds of a st... -
Image credit: Deccan Chronicle MAY 30, 2016 The South West Monsoon will arrive in Mumbai and parts of Gujarat around June 10, 20... -
Now it is becoming increasing clear that the tropical storm which is likely to form over the Arabian Sea south of the Saurashtra (India) coa... -
Weather Prediction map. October 30, 2012. Wind speed map. Red color is real bad news. Winds excess of 70 Kmph It is October and time f... -
Cyclone Nanauk about to hit the south Oman coast on June 3, 2014 BREAKING FORECAST....... THE US NAVY METEOROLOGISTS PREDICT A M... -
MAY 9, 2017, TUESDAY Hopes of an early arrival of southwest monsoon this year may be belied. Latest forecast by the sensitive CFS model... -
Before examining why longer-term forecasts are less accurate than current forecasts, we look at basic definitions on the types of weathe... -
NASA in its postmortem of Cyclone Nanauk says it was a powerful cyclone throwing up storms 16 kms high in the atmosphere. Tropical... -
A low pressure area is being born now As I write these words a churning in the great mass of rain clouds in south Arabian Sea has begu...
No comments:
Post a Comment