North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea, Bay Of Bengal) To Spawn A Cyclone By May End

UPDATE: MAY 11, 2015 
The situation is confusing and volatile. The GFS forecast today denies any possible cyclone. The NAVGEM Model says a storm will form on May 13, 2015 near the Sri Lanka coast, rapidly intensify into a cyclone and hit the Andhra coast in India on May 16. The Canadian CMC Model agrees. The GFS predicts only a low pressure area. Not very reliable.

We will close watch and keep you updated. Meanwhile you can watch and monitor North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea, Bay of Bengal) yourselves at this link on our STORM TRACKER

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 Forecast models are throwing out confusing forecasts of a tropical cyclone developing in the North Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea, Bay Of Bengal) by the end of May, 2015.

The cyclone is likely to develop around May 20-25. Where? That is not certain.

There are two possible scenarios.

First scenario is the storm develops in the Bay of Bengal of the coast of Tamil Nadu around May 20. The storm then intensifies and moves north and hits the Odisha-West Bengal coast by May 25, 2015. This may be a powerful cyclone with acentral minimum pressure of around 975 Mb.

SCENARIO 1: MAY 25. CYCLONE ASHOBAA HITS ODISHA-WEST-BENGAL COAST

Second scenario is the cyclone forms of the coast of Kerala on May 20, then moves slowly northwards along the Indian west coast and makes landfall into Gujarat on May 26, 2015.

SCENARIO 2: MAY 26. CYCLONE ASHOBAA HEADS TOWARDS GUJARAT

There are still 10-15 days to go so stating anything with certainty is well nigh impossible but it appears the North Indian Ocean is pregnant with possibilities of a tropical cyclone developing around May 20, 2015.

The time is ripe. The ocean waters are well heated to power and feed a cyclone. And May-June is the time that the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea throw out a cyclone or two.

Keep in touch for updates and for latest forecasts.