No Big Storm? Just A Depression In The Arabian Sea?

The cliche that weather is very unpredictable is certainly true. Just yesterday forecasts said that a big big cyclone would ram the Pakistani coast on the 9th of November, 2011. Now the same forecasts say a storm yes. But not a big one. A depression.


Now even a depression is nothing to sneeze at. They have strong winds. They cause downpours.


A depression is expected to form around the 6th of November, 2011 in the Arabian Sea 1000 Kms NW of Maldives. It is expected to move gradually north-westwards towards the Oman coast for the next 2 days. Once it nears the Omani coast it will gain strength and hover around for a day or two. Then it will start weakening and move North-easterly towards the Pakistan coast. By the 12th or 13th it will slowly fizzle out just off the Pakistani coast.


The result? Rain in Sindh on November 10, 11 and more of it in Gujarat on the 12th and 13th of November. Gujarat will benefit rain wise as the remnants of the depression will drift to it. Oman will hardly get any rain from this depression even though it will kiss the coast.


Still many days to go. Lets keep watching... May be a big storm might come. Or maybe no storm at all! Vagaries of nature.


Wind Speed Prediction Map

 The depression will be strongest on Nov 9, 2011 when near the coast of Oman

Rain Forecast Maps

 Wow! A deluge in the sea! Nov 10, 2011

Nov 12, 2011. The storm breaks and drifts towards Gujarat, bringing rains
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