Latest image of Storm 4A. It is nudging the Oman coast. Surprisingly Pakistan will get most of the rains. On Nov 9-10, 2011
The low pressure system, as predicted by us, has formed in the Arabian Sea. According to the Indian Met Dept. it is likely to be become stronger. It presently lies 10.5N 67.6E, Approximately 595 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST of Mumbai, India. Forecasts say it will move in a NNW direction towards the coast of Southern Oman. By that time it may strengthen into a depression. Heavy rains are likely to lash Oman on the 8th, 9th and 10th of November.
The storm will start weakening on the 11th of November and start slithering down into the Gulf of Aden.
Like Keila this low pressure area (or a depression) will hover around the southern Oman coast. It is expected to reach Oman on Nov 8, 2011. The towns to get the most rains? Dawwah, Kalban, Khaluf, Duqm, Sawqirah, Sharbatat, Marmul, Sadh and Salalah.
Muscat will get rains on Nov 8, 9. The coastal areas of the country are likely to get downpours till the 11th of November. Especially the central coastal areas; they will get the heaviest falls. Pakistan may get a shower on the 10th of Nov.
Oman is in for a very wet spell.
Pakistan is for heavy rains on Nov 9-10. Balochistan and Sindh. Karachi too.
WHAT THE JTWC (JOnt Typhoon Warning Center) SAYS ABOUT THE LOW PRESSURE
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 72.0E
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 67.6E, APPROXIMATELY 595 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA.......THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
Rain Prediction Maps For Oman Nov 8-11, 2011
Nov 7, 2011
No comments:
Post a Comment