UK MetOffice Sticks To A Little Keila Entering Saurashtra (India)

The UK MetOffice still sticks to Keila entering Saurashtra in its latest bulletin. It says it will be a small storm. Not a monster predicted by GFS. GFS forecasts say big bad Keila will thrash Iran on Sunday, June 12, 2011. Who will be right? Time will tell.
The forecasted path....


 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.06.2011

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 18.3N  71.7E



  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY

  --------------     --------     --------        --------

 00UTC 06.06.2011  18.3N  71.7E     WEAK

 12UTC 06.06.2011  17.7N  71.8E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 07.06.2011  17.5N  70.5E   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 12UTC 07.06.2011  17.7N  70.5E   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 00UTC 08.06.2011  18.1N  70.0E    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 12UTC 08.06.2011  18.4N  70.1E    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 00UTC 09.06.2011  18.9N  70.2E    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 09.06.2011  19.6N  70.2E    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 00UTC 10.06.2011  20.1N  70.1E    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 10.06.2011  20.5N  70.1E    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 00UTC 11.06.2011  21.0N  69.7E    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

 12UTC 11.06.2011  21.5N  69.2E    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 00UTC 12.06.2011  22.1N  69.4E    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK