Mahasen about to hit Andhra-Orissa coast on May 14th, 2013. The purple color means very strong winds. |
It will move in a NNW direction and and then northwards move towards Visakhapatnam. Tamil Nadu escapes from its fury altogether according to latest forecasts. It will slam into the Andhra-Orissa border at Gopal-At-Sea on May 14, 2013 and then lose power. Coastal Orissa (Gopal-on-sea) will bear the brunt of the fury.
Mahasen will have maximum winds of about 100 Kmph. Pretty powerful stuff that.
The rains? Tamil Nadu will get some rains. Andhra, Orissa, West Bengal, Bangladesh, and NE states will get most of the deluge from May 13, 2013.. Heavy rains in these areas till the 20th of May, 2013. Floods would be better word.
Winds? Strong gales on the Andhra Pradesh and Orissa coasts from May 14, 2013.
XtremeWeather Map: Latest Projected Path Of Cyclone Mahasen: May 10 to May 14, 2013 |
-----------------------------------------------
The Metoffice, UK's weather department, has given this forecast for Mahasen....
GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.05.2013
NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 6.3N 82.5E
VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 08.05.2013 6.3N 82.5E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.05.2013 6.7N 81.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.05.2013 7.4N 81.3E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.05.2013 6.9N 81.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.05.2013 7.4N 81.2E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.05.2013 7.0N 81.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.05.2013 7.9N 81.7E WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 11.05.2013 10.3N 85.5E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 12.05.2013 11.6N 84.9E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 12.05.2013 13.2N 84.9E STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
-------------------------------------------------
XtremeWeather Rain Forecast Map Because Of Mahasen |
2 comments:
can the moisture over arabian sea in second image also spawn a cyclone because it is looking strong??
It is possible. We have mentioned in one of the articles that rain forecast maps for May 22, 2013 show possibility of a lot of rains. This is unusual for this time of the year. May be the monsoon is coming sooner. And the huge amount of moisture may throw up another cyclone, this time in the Arabian Sea, around 23rd of May, 2013.
Post a Comment