There is every likelihood of a powerful cyclone forming 500 kms NNE of Mauritius on April 7, 2015. The storm will pass between Mauritius and Rodrigues and head south. Though a direct hit is unlikey on Mauritius, conditions will be rough on April 7-9.
Keep in touch for further updates.
In the latest satellite image below is seen another cyclone 93S forming in the SE Indian Ocean. A weak storm, it will dissipate soon. The bigger storm will form north of Mauritius on April 7th.
TWO CYCLONES TO FORM IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN IN THE COMING WEEK
Two tropical cyclones are going to form in the S Indian Ocean in the coming days.
Storm 93S will intensify soon into a cyclone and move south-east towards the south-western coastal waters of Australia. A weak storm it will form and weaken in a couple of days.
91S will be the bigger storm. It is presently a low pressure area in the ocean. By April 7 it will drift towards Mascareignes and intensify into a tropical cyclone north-east of Mauritius.
There is some confusion as to who will name Storm 93S. The Australians or the folks at Reunion?
If 93S is named by the Australian Met then 91S will become Cyclone Ikola. Otherwise it will be named Joalane.
Track Forecast of Storm 91S (Future IKOLA?) in the SW Indian Ocean
The Red Line is GFS Forecast Track
Yellow Line is Canadian Model GEM.
Blue Line is US Navy's NAVGEM Model Forecast.
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