A Greatly Weakened Typhoon Maysak Will Hit Northern Philippines April 5 Morning

Typhoon Maysak will weaken considerably by the time it makes landfall into Northern Philippines at Luzon and Cagayan on the morning of April 5, 2015.

After wreaking havoc on Yap Islands super typhoon Maysak is moving towards northern Philippines. Currently it lies about 1700 kilometers from the coast of eastern Luzon. 

It is already a super typhoon. In the coming hours it will intensify even more. It will be at its strongest at midnight tonight. The JTWC predicts it will then have sustained winds of 280 kph with gusts up to an astounding 330 kph.

But within 24 hours it will start weakening as it continues moving Philippines. Our estimate is that by the time it makes landfall into northern Philippines on the morning of April 5, 2015 (Local Time) it will be just  whipping up winds of 75 kph, gusts up to 100 kph.

The coast of eastern Luzon can expect winds of about 60-80 kph on April 5. Accompanied, of course, by heavy rains. Mercifully Maysak will weaken a lot by that time. The imagination boggles when one images Maysak hitting Philippines with its present strength. Another Haiyan.

UPDATE: APRIL 2, 2015

There is no doubt that typhoon Maysak is already weakening as it moves towards northern Philippines. Though still a powerful storm now, it is weakening by the hour. It is expected to make landfall into Luzon on Saturday late night, April 4, 2015. At that time it will be little more than a weak tropical cyclone with sustained winds of 60-70 kph. Or less

So there is little peril for Philippines. Though the heavy rains may cause problems.

THE WEATHER FORECAST MAP SHOWS A WEAK TROPICAL CYCLONE MAYSAK ENTERING LUZON ON LATE NIGHT SATURDAY, APRIL 4, 2015.

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LATEST TRACK FORECAST AND WIND SPEEDS (IN KNOTS) FOR SUPER TYPHOON MAYSAK BY JTWC