The JTWC Says Cyclone Ashobaa Has Already Formed: Will Hit Visakhapatnam In 3 Days

The forecast track of Cyclone Ashobaa according to the JTWC

The JTWC in its latest bulletin says Cyclone Ashobaa {Tropical Storm 5B] has already formed in the Bay of Bengal. It lies 1000 south of Kolkata. Its maximum winds at present are 65 Kph gusting up to 85 Kph. That qualifies it to be a cyclone. But we will have to wait for the IMD to christen it Ashobaa.

The cyclone will not be a very powerful storm. When it impacts Visakhapatnam on Saturday [November 9, 2014] winds will be about 65-85 Kph. But very heavy rainfall is expected in Andhra Pradesh then.

There is some confusion about Cyclone Ashobaa. The JTWC says it has already formed. The GFS forecast says it will form later on November 10, 2014, and hit the Andhra coast on November 12. The GFS forecast says the storm will be much bigger. We have already written about it in an earlier post. The GFS says the present depression in the Bay will fizzle out. The cyclone will come later. An intensification of a low pressure area from the South China Sea.

We will check the latest GFS forecast and confirm what the situation is.