The expected tropical storm in the Arabian Sea is likely to gather strength by Wednesday (June 8, 2011). It will then keep intensifying for the next two days and then touch the Saurashtra coast by Friday (June 10, 2010) near Diu. It will then keep moving along the Saurashtra coast and then pass into the Pakistani coast. It will then enter south-western Pakistan (Gwadar) and start dissipating. Indian coastal towns of Diu, Veraval, Porbandar, Dwarka, Kandla, Mandvi are likely to be most affected. Though the "eye" of Keila will remain in the sea. Karachi is likely to feel the periphery of Keila (Wind speeds of 100 kmph+). Oman can take a sigh of relief. Keila is not going to make a date with it.
KEILA FORECAST UPDATES
KEILA FORECAST UPDATES
- The presently dormant low pressure area in the Arabian Sea (19.3 N and 75 E) will start slowly intensifying by tomorrow (Wednesday, June 8, 2010). It will start moving northwards towards the Saurashtra (Gujarat, India) coast and turn into a depression. By Thursday morning it will start turning into a cyclone. Perhaps it will then officially gets its name "Keila".
- It will rapidly move northwards and touch the Saurashtra coast at Diu by early Friday (June 10, 2011) morning.
- It will then saunter along the Saurashtra coast and then the coast of Kutch in the next two days. The good news is that Keila's periphery will touch the Saurashtra coastal towns. Keila's centre, its "eye" will remain in the Arabian Sea offshore.
- Even then wind speeds will be considerable. 80 Kmph+
- The Indian towns (Saurashtra coast) of Diu, Veraval, Porbandar, Dwarka, Kandla, Mandvi, Mundra will be affected the most.
- Keila will meet the Pakistan coast on Sunday (June 12, 2011) evening. Karachi is to be affected. Keila will then move into land, into Balochistan, Pakistan by Sunday evening (Pakistan Time). Balochistan will see the strongest winds. 120+ Kmph.
- Keila will then move into southern Iran and dissipate.
- Lots of rainfall likely in coastal Saurashtra, Southern Pakistan (Karachi) and Balochistan as the storm passes by.
- Oman will not be affected in the least.
Note: I Knot = 1.85 Kmph
The UTC time shown in the maps is the same as GMT
Early Friday (June 10, 2011) morning. Keila prods Diu awake with wind and heavy rain
Friday night (June 10, 2011). Keila has spread her tentacles to all the coastal areas of Saurashtra and Kutch
Keila perhaps likes the place. Hovers around for 24 hours
Starts moving again. Sunday night. June 12, 2011. Nudging Pakistan and Karachi
Monday (June 13, 2011) afternoon. Enters land. Parts of Sindh and Balochistan
Monday (June 13, 2011) Starts dissipating near the Iran border.
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