Another Prediction Says KEILA May Hit Gujarat! GFS Forecasts Say Oman Is The Target.

I got this latest information from the UK Met Office. According to it the path of the cyclone is to be this (in longitude and latitude)

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.06.2011

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS

                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 16.5N  72.3E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY

  --------------     --------     --------        --------

 00UTC 06.06.2011  16.5N  72.3E     WEAK

 12UTC 06.06.2011  17.0N  72.2E   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

 00UTC 07.06.2011  17.5N  71.5E    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 12UTC 07.06.2011  18.2N  71.1E    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 00UTC 08.06.2011  18.4N  70.6E    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 12UTC 08.06.2011  19.1N  70.5E    STRONG     LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 09.06.2011  19.3N  70.4E    STRONG     LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 09.06.2011  19.4N  70.4E    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

 00UTC 10.06.2011  20.1N  70.8E    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

WHAT IT MEANS....

Now!  Dust off your school atlases and see the latitudes and longitudes. This means Keila is going to hit the Saurashtra coast! More later! Stay tuned.

72.3E. 16.5N. That is the birth place of Keila. The location comes off the western Indian coast between Mumbai and Goa.


BUT... GFS forecast models still say what we have said earlier. Keila is going to head straight for Oman. From June 10, 2011, lots of wind and rain is expected in Oman.

Let us wait and watch.