APRIL 2, 2017
After the dangerous typhoon Debbie, the seas off the Australian coast is going to see hectic storm activity. And all of it will occur in the Timor Sea and adjoining Indian Ocean off the coast of Northern Territory and Western Australia.
Almost all forecast models are predicting 2 or 3 depressions or tropical storms in that area of the ocean. This will happen in the coming days around April 10. Two of the storms may sail harmlessly west into the Indian Ocean without landfall into the country-continent.
But the third one that will form off East Timor is the one to watch out for. The American GFS model expects it to intensify into a 955 hPa monster and hit the coast of Western Australia between Broome and Port Hedland on April 11-12, 2017.
The expected storms will be named Cempaka or Ernie depending on where the cyclone forms, in the waters of Indonesian Met jurisdiction or in BOM (Australian Bureau of Meteorology) waters.
Latest forecasts hint at the possibility of the formation of two tropical storms. The first will start off as a low pressure area on April 5 south of Java. The second low pressure system will form around April 9 in Timor sea north of Darwin.
The American CPC (Climate Prediction Center) in it's latest report says, "GEFS indicates that the Timor Sea region to the north of Australia has an elevated risk of tropical cyclone development".
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