The Bay of Bengal has belatedly thrown out a tropical storm, which will be named KYANT in a couple of days. It is a depression now some 750 kilometres from Yangon, Myanmar at present. In the coming few days the system 99B will move close to the coast of Myanmar.
On October 24, 2016, it will intensify into a tropical storm. Our estimate is at its peak it will reach a central minimum pressure of 981 millibars. Compared to the recent West Pacific monster Haima which had reached 922 millibars, this one will be a mere toddler.
But it is going to bring lots of rainfall to coastal Myanmar and then on October 28 to parts of Bangladesh and some Indian NE states.
KYANT will swing back into the sea away from the Myanmar coast on October 25 and perhaps hit the Chittagong area of Bangladesh on October 28, 2016.
But it's track may change in the coming days. Keep in touch.
It is also possible that this system may not strengthen enough to become a tropical cyclone and may remain on record according to the Indian Meteorological Department a mere deep depression and not be named "KYANT". At most it may turn out to be a weak cyclone, according to present forecasts.
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