Future typhoon Noul has already formed. It is a tropical storm now. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center has named it "Six". And it has issued its track forecast. There is some disagreement amongst various forecast models as to whether Noul will hit Philippines or not. Hence the JTWC has remained non-committal on the subject.
Keep in touch for our updates.
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| THE TRACK FORECAST FOR FUTURE TYPHOON NOUL BY JTWC. IT IS STILL UNCERTAIN WHETHER NOUL WILL HIT PHILIPPINES OR NOT. |
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Yesterday we had hinted at the possibility of a typhoon (Noul) forming in the Western Pacific in a few days. We had also said that the typhoon would move towards the Philippines but swing north towards Japan without hitting the country.
We are not so certain now.
It is certain that a typhoon is going to form in the Western Pacific in the coming days. It will start as a low pressure area that will crystallize in a couple of days around May 4, 2015, between Guam and Papua New Guinea, east of Palau. This low pressure will then slowly intensify into typhoon Noul and move towards Philippines
Will typhoon Noul hit Philippines?
Opinions differ between the two major forecast systems.
The American GFS says the tropical cyclone will head towards Luzon in northern Philippines but swing north on May 10, 2015.
The European Forecast Model predicts Philippines is in for a hit at Samar Island in eastern Visayas on May 9-10.
Typhoon Noul is going to be no Haiyan or Hagupit but it will be a considerable storm.
The Western Pacific typhoon season in 2015 got off with a rollicking start with super typhoon Maysak. Now Noul is coming. Hopefully not to Philippines.
See Typhoon Noul LIVE
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