Bay of Bengal Depression 95B: Will Peter Out In Three Days, But Heavy Rains In Coastal Andhra, Odisha.

Update: December 29, 2014

As expected depression 95B that is hovering around in the south-west Bay of Bengal will not intensify into a cyclonic storm. It will potter around in the sea and dissipate in the next 72 hours.

The winter is inconducive to 95B to intensify any further. It is at presently sniffing around looking for avenues that will help it grow. But the waters up north in the Bay are colder hence it will just move around in the Bay and then dissipate.

Contrary to what the GFS forecast believes 95B will move north along the coast and even throw up cyclone speed winds on January 1, 2014 when it will be near the Odisha coast. The storm will move much closer to the Indian coastline then was earlier expected. So more rains expected, especially in coastal Andhra and Odisha.

About the rainfall it will cause. Not much. At least less than expected. 95B is going to dump most of its precipitation in the sea itself as it is not going to make landfall. But even then it has a lot of energy and so it will throw rain-bearing clouds onto coastal India. Odisha will receive heavy rains in a day or two. Rainfall and winds expected in coastal Tamil Nadu, Andhra, West Bengal and even Bangladesh till January 2, 2014.

See Depression 95B LIVE

See the detailed Rainfall Forecast Maps for more information and forecast.

Infra-Red satellite image of 95B taken at 0530 Hours IST, December 29, 2014.

The Track Path Forecast for 95B. The red line is the GFS forecast. The storm will dissipate in the sea near the Andhra coast on January 1, 2015.