Arabian Sea Tropical Storm Will Die Within 24 Hours.

The tropical storm over the Arabian Sea now lies at 20.4N 71.0E. It is 345 nautical miles south-east of Karachi. It is at the Saurashtra coast near Diu. It will weaken rapidly and dissipate by tomorrow (Monday, June 13, 2011). It will die by the Saurashtra coast and not expected to travel any further. Yes, the remnants of the storm may half-heartedly drift up to the Kutch coast till Tuesday (June 14, 2011).

FORECAST AND COMMENTS

• The cyclone will die by tomorrow (Monday, June 13, 2011) moning near Porbandar on the Saurashtra (India) coast
• There will be lots of wind throughout Saurashtra, especially the coastal towns of Diu, Veraval and Porbandar.
• Very heavy rain is forecast in Veraval and Porbandar. My guess? 10 inches. That is a lot of precipitation!
• The rest of Saurashtra and Kutch too will get some rainfall.

Heavy downpour expected in Veraval and Porbandar till Monday (June 13, 2011)


THE FINAL WORD ON THE STORM
The last bulletin by the Pakistan Met. Department perhaps closes the chapter of the Arabian Sea tropical storm (why was it never christened as "Keila"? Too short-lasting?)

Heavy rains lashed Verval on June 12, 2011 owing to the influence of the tropical storm


POSTSCRIPT (Storm 1A never got christened as "Keila")

North Indian (forecast track charts for Global and South Asia models shown)

Name & ID	Start & end dates	1-/10-minute MSW	Comments on Met Office global model forecasts
01A	11-12 June	35/30 knots	01A only briefly reached tropical storm status according to JTWC.