OCTOBER 12, 2016, WEDNESDAY
Even as a limpid monsoon withdraws rapidly from South Asia, Kerala is in for a continuous wet spell which will last till October 24, 2016. Extreme southern Karnataka and western Tamil Nadu too will receive good rains in the coming days.
This will be because of a a cluster of thunderstorms that have drifted down the Arabian Sea coast of India after drenching Gujarat in early part of this month. These clutch of cyclonic circulations will drench entire Kerala, some districts of Karnataka ( Mysore, Chamrajnagar, Hassan, Benguluru, Mandya, Kolar) western Tamil Nadu (Erode, Dindigul, Coimbatore, Salem, Nilgiris).
Meanwhile the monsoon is preparing to withdraw from eastern India, Bangladesh too. The present cyclonic circulation over Bangladesh is a last dying gasp.
Tamil Nadu is waiting for the onset of North East monsoon. It should occur in early November, though Sri Lanka will see continuous heavy rains as thunderstorm activity has naturally increased around the equator after the autumnal equinox.
One has to wait and see if there is a repeat of last year when the Arabian Sea hurled two powerful cyclones (Chapala, MEGH) towards Yemen. Seems unlikely as global weather conditions are unfavourable at present.
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