LATEST FORECAST UPDATE FOR ARABIAN SEA LOW
It will form today off the coast of Saurashtra region. Where will it go?
Two scenarios.
FIRST: it will stay close to the Saurashtra coast and intensify into a possible depression on Monday, June 22, 2015. It will make landfall into the region on Tuesday, move through central Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and end up finally in West Bengal.
SECOND: it intensifies and move back into the Arabian Sea, goes quite near the coast of Oman, then turn back. It will make landfall into Kutch on June June 25, 2015 and move through western Rajasthan towards Delhi. Heavy rains likely in Kutch, Saurashtra, and Sindh from June 23rd onwards.
The upper air circulation (the low) extends up to 8 kilometers in the atmosphere.
The image below shows the current situation in Arabian Sea now (0300 UTC, June 20, 2015).
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