The chance of a tropical cyclone developing in the North Indian Ocean has receded according to latest forecasts from various models.
A cyclone or not? In the North Indian Ocean. That is the question now.
In the last few days the GFS Model had been gung-ho about the prospect of an Arabian Sea cyclone. The Canadian CMC had supported while the European Model (ECMWF) had disagreed going so far as to say that the storm would form in the Bay of Bengal.
Come today and all the forecast models are showing flat storm less forecasts for the North Indian Ocean. The GFS says no cyclone. The CMC says no cyclone. The ECMWF says no cyclone.
What has happened? Has the ocean turned docile? Some meteorologists say the over-active Pacific Ocean is hurling one typhoon after another (Noul, then Dolphin) and sucking off the moisture from the Indian Ocean. Going by this reasoning will the North Indian Ocean become active storm-wise after the demise of super typhoon Dolphin in a week's time? Time will tell.
In the mean time we will closely monitor the Indian Ocean and keep you updated on any incipient tropical cyclone.
Now is the time. Now is the season. Hope the Indian Ocean does not disappoint.
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| WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGE OF THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AT 0300 HRS GMT TODAY. WILL IT SPAWN A STORM? |
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