Even in the latest Nanauk cyclone bulletin (1500 hrs GMT , June 12, 2014) the JTWC says it will not reach Oman but dissipate in the Arabian Sea itself on Sunday.
We have to see if this prognosis is supported by other forecast models. Off the hand, we feel this forecast will happen to be true.
Here is a gist of what the bulletin says in simple English.....
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A (NANAUK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTHEAST OF MUSCAT, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
............... WILL RESULT IN A RAPID WEAKENING TREND.
TC 02A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE WEAKENED TC IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND DEFLECT POLEWARD BEFORE DISSIPATION..................
Satellite image of Nanauk taken at 1200 hrs GMT today (Friday, June 13, 2014)
No comments:
Post a Comment